Just as for people, a new year is a good time for a journal to stop, look back, and start a new beginning, hoping for a good season ahead. This is what we have been doing each year in the Croatian Medical Journal for the last twenty years. We will probably never stop doing this, even when we become an august journal, because the world of scientific publishing rapidly changes. This year, we pres...

primary bud necrosis (pbn) in grapevine is a physiological disorder that leads to death of fruitful buds and yield loss. the aim of this study was to determine the changes in soluble sugars and starch and their relationship to the incidence of the primary bud necrosis in askari grapevine. experiment was conducted in a vineyard that the vines were 15 years old, with a head system, vines spaced 2...

Interpandemic or seasonal influenza A, currently subtypes H3N2 and H1N1, exacts an enormous annual burden both in terms of human health and economic impact. Incidence prediction ahead of season remains a challenge largely because of the virus' antigenic evolution. We propose a forecasting approach that incorporates evolutionary change into a mechanistic epidemiological model. The proposed model...

I n this paper, we specify that the GARCH(1,1) model has strong forecasting volatility and its usage under the truncated standard normal distribution (TSND) is more suitable than when it is under the normal and student-t distributions. On the contrary, no comparison was tried between the forecasting performance of volatility of the daily return series using the multi-step ahead forec...

It is common for rewards to be given on the basis of a rank ordering, so that relative performance amongst a cohort is the criterion. In this paper we formulate an equilibrium model in which an agent makes successive decisions on whether or not to gamble and is rewarded on the basis of a rank ordering of final wealth. This is a model of the behaviour of mutual fund managers who are paid dependi...

The purpose of this study is to understand spatio-temporal changes of active fungal biomass and water in Tricholoma matsutake soil colonies during the mushroom fruiting season. The active fungal biomass was estimated by analyzing ergosterol content at four different points within four replicated locations in a single circular T. matsutake colony at Ssanggok valley in the Sogri Mt. National Park...