background: cigarette smoking is one of the most important health‑related risk factors in terms of morbidity and mortality. in this study, we introduced a new method for deriving the transitional probabilities of smoking stages from a cross‑sectional study and simulated a long‑term smoking behavior for adolescents. methods: in this study in 2010, a total of 4853 high school students were random...

In 2 eye-movement experiments, the authors tested whether transitional probability (the statistical likelihood that a word precedes or follows another word) affects reading times and whether this occurs independently from contextual predictability effects. Experiment 1 showed early effects of predictability, replicating S. A. McDonald and R. C. Shillcock's (2003a) finding that words with a high...

Two phoneme monitoring experiments examined the influence of Transitional Probability (TP) on phoneme recognition. Target phonemes appeared at the end of Consonant-Vowel-Consonant (CVC) syllables, or as the first element of coda clusters in CVCC syllables. Reliable TP effects were found only for targets in CVCC syllables. The TPs both into and out of the targets influenced listeners' ability to...

We report the results of an investigation into the ability of transitional probability (word-to-word contingency statistics) to account for reading behaviour. Using a corpus of eye movements recorded during the reading of newspaper text, we demonstrate both the forward [P(n/n-1)] and backward [P(n/n+1)] transitional probability measures to be predictive of first fixation and gaze durations: the...

Do Cantonese listeners really use phonotactics information in the segmentation process of Cantonese continuous speech? Because some phoneme transitions across Cantonese syllables occur much more often than the others, the transitional probability may cue the locations of possible syllable boundaries in Cantonese speech. Two syllable-spotting experiments were conducted. Results clearly indicated...

The Associative Probability Theory asserts that the greater the number of associates elicited by a stimulus, the greater the probability that one of these will be an appropriate mediator for new learning. The present study tested the adequacy of this theory in describing the effect of natural-language-sequential habits on PA learning. The transitional probability between pairs of words and the ...

Probability updating via Bayes' rule often entails extensive informational and computational requirements. In consequence, relatively few practical applications of Bayesian adaptive control techniques have been attempted. This paper discusses an alternative approach to adaptive control, Bayesian in spirit, which shifts attention from the updating of probability distributions via transitional pr...

UNLABELLED Representations encoding the probabilities of auditory events do not directly support predictive processing. In contrast, information about the probability with which a given sound follows another (transitional probability) allows predictions of upcoming sounds. We tested whether behavioral and cortical auditory deviance detection (the latter indexed by the mismatch negativity event-...

A number of studies have shown that people exploit transitional probabilities between successive syllables to segment a stream of artificial continuous speech into words. It is often assumed that what is actually exploited are the forward transitional probabilities (given XY, the probability that X will be followed by Y), even though the backward transitional probabilities (the probability that...