The purpose – Accurately forecasting the demand for international health tourism is important to newly-emerging markets in the world. The aim of this study was presents a more suitable and accurate model for forecasting the demand for health tourism that should be more theoretically useful. Design – Applying GM(1,1) with adaptive levels of α (hereafter GM(1,1)-α model) to provide a concise pred...

Long-run tourism demand elasticities are important policy indicators for tourism product providers. Past tourism demand studies have mainly focused on the point estimates of demand elasticities. Although such estimates have some policymaking value, their information content is limited, as their associated sampling variability is unknown. Moreover, point estimates and their standard errors may b...

The objective of this paper was to develop a useful framework for estimating demand for tourism in emerging markets. Tourism has become one of the most crucial sectors in a large number of emerging countries. Moreover, the tourism industry in such markets is forecasted to keep increasing in the next decade. Hence, understanding and accurately forecast demand in the industry is essential in orde...

Interstate tourism is an important component of the domestic tourism business in Australia. However, empirical analyses of interstate tourism demand have not been previously undertaken. The motivation for this paper is to investigate the shortand long-run causal relationships between economic factors and interstate tourism demand in Australia. Using a cointegration approach, this study discover...

this article aims at identifying the factors involved in affecting the travel demand to iran. the hypothesis of the research specifies the variable of “domestic social unrest and insecurity” as the most significant obstacle that stands against an expansion of the demand for travel to iran. to test the above hypothesis, first several demand models that have been proposed to study demand for tour...

Note: Please note that the information given in this form will only be used for processing this application. A typical PhD proposal will be somewhere between three and four thousand words (excluding references and appendices). While we do not insist on a definite layout, applicants are encouraged to keep the following in mind: i.e. about 13 pages with 1.5 spacing and leaving enough margin for c...

In order to clarify the impact of Shinkansen network extension on tourism development in Japan, this study investigates the change of tourism demand and tourist behavior in Tohoku and Kyushu Region by using statistical data collected by MLIT and JTA. The results suggest that tourism arrivals increased significantly in cities that were connected by the extended Shinkansen network. In addition, m...

Previous research has not adequately measured the effectiveness of a state’s promotion of its tourism product. In this research, the authors use an econometric model to measure the impact of the Croatian, Czech, and Slovak states’ attempts to promote their tourism products abroad. The findings show the effectiveness of the state’s attempts to market their products. The dependent variables in th...