نتایج جستجو برای: time models
تعداد نتایج: 2612439 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...
a large number of single research studies on the effects of strategy-based instruction (sbi) in teaching english as a foreign or second language has been conducted so far. however, the lack of a comprehensive meta-analysis targeting the effectiveness of english language sbi is observed. moreover, the findings of experimental studies regarding the context of the english language, proficiency lev...
rivers and runoff have always been of interest to human beings. in order to make use of the proper water resources, human societies, industrial and agricultural centers, etc. have usually been established near rivers. as the time goes on, these societies developed, and therefore water resources were extracted more and more. consequently, conditions of water quality of the rivers experienced rap...
background: the malaria early warning system is defined as the use of prognostic variables for predicting the occurrence of malaria epidemics several months in advance. the principal objective of this study was to provide a malaria prediction model by using meteorological variables and historical malaria morbidity data for malaria-endemic areas in south eastern iran. methods: a total of 2002 l...
abstract autoregressive integrated moving average (arima) has been one of the widely used linear models in time series forecasting during the past three decades. recent studies revealed the superiority of artificial neural network (ann) over traditional linear models in forecasting. but neither arima nor anns can be adequate in modeling and forecasting time series since the first model cannot d...
the present research was planned to evaluate the skill of linear stochastic models known as arima and multiplicative seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (sarima) model in the quantitative forecasting of the standard runoff index (sri) in karkheh basin. to this end, sri was computed in monthly and seasonal time scales in 10 hydrometric stations in 1974-75 to 2012-13 period of time ...
abstract this paper discusses several commonly used models for strategic marketing¹ including market environmental analysis methods (i.e. swot and pest analysis) and strategic marketing tools and techniques (i.e. boston matrix and shell directional policy matrix)and shows how these models may help a firm to achieve its strategic goals. at first, the main reason for doing this research is de...
چکیده روش های متعددی برای برآورد رواناب حاصل از بارش در حوضه های آبریز وجود دارد. یکی از این روش ها استفاده از مدل های هیدرولوژیکی است. با استفاده از مدل های هیدرولوژیکی و شبیه سازی فرآیندهای هیدرولوژیکی می توان با صرف کمترین زمان و هزینه، رواناب و مولفه های دیگر چرخ? هیدرولوژیکی را برآورد کرد. از آنجا که در حوضه های آبریز اندازه گیری تمام کمیت های مورد نیاز برای تحلیل رواناب ممکن نیست، انتخاب...
مدلهای گارچ در فضاهای هیلبرت پایان نامه حاضر شامل دو بخش می باشد. در قسمت اول مدلهای اتورگرسیو تعمیم یافته مشروط به ناهمگنی واریانس در فضاهای هیلبرت را معرفی، مفاهیم ریاضی مورد نیاز در تحلیل این مدلها در دامنه زمان را مطرح کرده و آنها را مورد بررسی قرار می دهیم. بر اساس پیشرفتهایی که اخیرا در زمینه تئوری داده های تابعی و آماره های عملگری ایجاد شده است، فرآیندهایی که دارای مقادیر در فضاهای ...
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of different time-varying BVAR models for Iranian inflation. Forecast accuracy of a BVAR model with Litterman’s prior compared with a time-varying BVAR model (a version introduced by Doan et al., 1984); and a modified time-varying BVAR model, where the autoregressive coefficients are held constant and only the deterministic components are allo...
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