نتایج جستجو برای: term price forecasting

تعداد نتایج: 693988  

Accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. However, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...

Journal: :journal of operation and automation in power engineering 2007
h. taherian i. nazer e. razavi s. r. goldani m. farshad

accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. however, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...

Abstract- In a typical competitive electricity market, a large number of short-term and long-term contracts are set on basis of energy price by an Independent System Operator (ISO). Under such circumstances, accurate electricity price forecasting can play a significant role in improving the more reasonable bidding strategies adopted by the electricity market participants. So, they cannot only r...

Journal: :Information 2017
Weishang Guo Zhenyu Zhao

Accurate electricity price forecasting plays an important role in the profits of electricity market participants and the healthy development of electricity market. However, the electricity price time series hold the characteristics of volatility and randomness, which make it quite hard to forecast electricity price accurately. In this paper, a novel hybrid model for electricity price forecastin...

Journal: :پژوهش های مدیریت در ایران 0
عادل آذر دانشیار رشته مدیریت، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران امیر افسر مربی مدیریت، دانشگاه قم، قم، ایران پرویز احمدی استادیار مدیریت، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران

today, stock investment has become an important mean of national finance. apparently, it is significant for investors to estimate the stock price and select the trading chance accurately in advance, which will bring high return to stockholders. in the past, long-term trading processes and many technical analysis methods for stock market were put forward. however, stock market is a nonlinear sys...

Forecasting energy price and consumption is essential in making effective managerial decisions and plans. While there are many sophisticated mathematical methods developed so far to forecast, some nature-based intelligent algorithms with desired characteristics have been developed recently. The main objective of this research is short term forecasting of energy price and consumption in Iranian ...

2002
Alicia Troncoso Lora Jesús Riquelme Santos José Cristóbal Riquelme Santos Antonio Gómez Expósito José Luís Martínez Ramos

معظمی, مجید , هوشمند, رحمت‌الله ,

In a daily power market, price and load forecasting is the most important signal for the market participants. In this paper, an accurate feed-forward neural network model with a genetic optimization levenberg-marquardt back propagation (LMBP) training algorithm is employed for short-term nodal congestion price forecasting in different zones of a large-scale power market. The use of genetic algo...

2013
H. Taherian

Accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. However, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...

2014
Marin Cerjan Marin Matijaš Marko Delimar

Accurate forecasting tools are essential in the operation of electric power systems, especially in deregulated electricity markets. Electricity price forecasting is necessary for all market participants to optimize their portfolios. In this paper we propose a hybrid method approach for short-term hourly electricity price forecasting. The paper combines statistical techniques for pre-processing ...

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