the present research was planned to evaluate the skill of linear stochastic models known as arima and multiplicative seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (sarima) model in the quantitative forecasting of the standard runoff index (sri) in karkheh basin. to this end, sri was computed in monthly and seasonal time scales in 10 hydrometric stations in 1974-75 to 2012-13 period of time ...

[1] Many current metrics of drought are derived solely from analyses of climate variables such as precipitation and temperature. Drought is clearly a consequence of climate anomalies, as well as of human water use practices, but many impacts to society are more directly related to hydrologic conditions resulting from these two factors. Modern hydrology models can provide a valuable counterpart ...

the impact of meteorological and hydrological drought on groundwater resources in coastal deserts in the south of iran was investigated during 1991-2011, using standardized precipitation index (spi), standardized runoff index (sri), and groundwater resources index (gri). the results indicated that wet and drought spells governed the area in the first and second decades, respectively, which was ...

abstract drought is a natural creeping event that starts due to lower moisture compared to normal condition. this phenomenon impacts all aspects of human activities. however there is neither any detailed definition nor a general and proper index for drought monitoring. in this study, fuzzy logic has been applied to deal with inherent uncertainties of the real world data. we presented a fuzzy mo...

drought as a natural but temporary imbalance of water availability is the interaction between natural environment and human life resulting in diminished water resources availability and reduced carrying capacity of the ecosystems. drought indices are essential elements for an efficient drought monitoring system. these indices make the transforming information of climatic anomalies easier and al...

The sensitivity of hydrologic variables in East China, that is, runoff, precipitation, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture to the fluctuation of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM), is evaluated by the Mann-Kendall correlation analysis on a spatial resolution of 1/4 in the period of 1952–2012. The results indicate remarkable spatial disparities in the correlation between the hydrologic variables...