نتایج جستجو برای: seasonal unit roots test

تعداد نتایج: 1284567  

2007
Richard J. Smith A. M. Robert Taylor Tomas del Barrio Castro Robert Taylor

The contribution of this paper is three-fold. Firstly, a characterisation theorem of the sub-hypotheses comprising the seasonal unit root hypothesis is presented which provides a precise formulation of the alternative hypotheses against which regression-based seasonal unit root tests test. Secondly, it proposes regressionbased tests for the seasonal unit root hypothesis which allow a general se...

2015
Ghassen El Montasser

The literature has been notably less definitive in distinguishing between finite sample studies of seasonal stationarity than in seasonal unit root tests. Although the use of seasonal stationarity and unit root tests is advised to determine correctly the most appropriate form of the trend in a seasonal time series, such a use is rarely noted in the relevant studies on this topic. Recently, the ...

Journal: :Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2003
Pak Wing Fong Wai Keung Li

A time series model with possibly a randomized unit root and a randomized seasonal unit root is considered. Two statistical tests are developed for the null hypothesis of 3xed unit roots against the alternative that the roots are random and 5uctuate about the value of one. The testing problem is addressed via the score test approach. The asymptotic representations of the test statistics in term...

Journal: :Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 2010
Laurent Ferrara Dominique Guégan Zhiping Lu

Testing the fractionally integrated order of seasonal and non-seasonal unit roots is quite important for the economic and financial time series modelling. In this paper, Robinson test (1994) is applied to various well-known long memory models. Via Monte Carlo experiments, we study and compare the performances of this test using several sample sizes.

2005
Tomas del Barrio

This paper examines, both theoretically and through Monte Carlo analysis, the implications of applying the HEGY seasonal root tests to a process that is periodically integrated. As an important special case, the random walk process is also considered. In the context of the HEGY regression, the asymptotic distribution of the zero frequency test statistic is dependent on the coefficients of the p...

Journal: :Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 2002

2010
D. A. Dickey

Time series quite often show patterns that repeat periodically. Monthly retail sales provide a good example. If the seasonality is very regular, seasonal dummy variables can be used to give, for example, a monthly effect for each month. With this approach, the January effect is assumed to be the same regardless of the year. Seasonal ARMA error terms can be added to make some local modifications...

Journal: :Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2014
Ignacio Díaz-Emparanza

When working with time series data observed at intervals smaller than a year, it is often necessary to test for the presence of seasonal unit roots. One of the most widely used methods for testing seasonal unit roots is that of HEGY, which provides test statistics with non-standard distributions. This paper describes a generalisation of this method for any periodicity and uses a response surfac...

1999
Peter Burridge

In this paper we analyse the behaviour of regression-based tests for seasonal unit roots when the error process is periodically heteroscedastic. We show, using the case of quarterly data to illustrate, that the limiting null distributions of tests for unit roots at the zero and Nyquist frequencies are unaffected by the presence of periodic heteroscedastic behaviour in the error process. Tests a...

1995
Robert M. Kunst

In the paper we consider the role of seasonal intercepts in seasonal cointegration analysis. For the nonseasonal unit root, such intercepts can generate a stochastic trend with a drift common to all observations. For the seasonal unit roots, however, we show that unrestricted seasonal intercepts generate trends that are diierent across the seasons. Since such seasonal trends may not appear in e...

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