Interest in hurricane risk usually focuses on landfalling events of the highest intensity, which cause a disproportionate amount of hurricane-related damage. Yet assessing the long-term risk of the most intense landfalling events is problematic because there are comparatively few of them in the historical record. For this reason, return periods of the most intense storms are usually estimated b...

reliable estimates of river stream fl ow and fl ood zoning maps are needed for water resourcesmanagement such as fl ood mitigation, water supply, dam construction and irrigation. flood zoning needsaccurate data and is one of the non-structural fl ood management methods. this paper describes theapplication of hec-ras and gis model to determine fl oodplains maps for the part of sardabrud rivertha...

Water resources design has widely used the average return period as a concept to inform management and communication of the risk of experiencing an exceedance event within a planning horizon. Even though nonstationarity is often apparent, in practice hydrologic design often mistakenly assumes that the probability of exceedance, p, is constant from year to year which leads to an average return p...

On the variability of return periods of European winter precipitation extremes over the last five centuries A. Pauling and H. Paeth Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Hallerstrasse 12, 3012 Bern, Switzerland Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Auf dem Hügel 20, 53121 Bonn, Germany Received: 22 February 2006 – Accepted: 18 March 2006 – Published: 24 April 2006 Correspondence t...