Prospect theory is a descriptive theory of how individuals choose among risky alternatives. The theory challenged the conventional wisdom that economic decision makers are rational expected utility maximizers. We present a number of empirical demonstrations that are inconsistent with the classical theory, expected utility, but can be explained by prospect theory. We then discuss the prospect th...

Prospect theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979) predictions were examined in light of ethnocentrism and intergroup conflict. An experiment conducted at the outset of the 2003 invasion of Iraq by the U.S., U. K. and their allies explored American and British participants’ preferences for certain versus uncertain gains and losses concerning Iraqi, American, and British lives. In four conditions, parti...

This paper studies the effect of the space (distance) between lotteries' outcomes on risk-taking behavior and the shape of estimated utility and probability weighting functions. Previously investigated experimental data shows a significant space effect in the gain domain. As compared to low spaced lotteries, high spaced lotteries are associated with higher risk aversion for high probabilities o...

this article investigates fluctuations in stocks prices at tehran stock exchange, assuming that investors' utility stems from fluctuations in value of stocks as well as consumption. thus, the two behavioral phenomena discussed in prospect theory, i. e. loss aversion and house money effect, were factored into consumption-based asset pricing model and investor's utility function, which ...

This paper discusses di€erences between prospect theory and cumulative prospect theory. It shows that cumulative prospect theory is not merely a formal correction of some theoretical problems in prospect theory, but it also gives di€erent predictions. Some experiments by Lola Lopes are re-analyzed, and are demonstrated to favor cumulative prospect theory over prospect theory. It turns out that ...

We present a new theory of decision under uncertainty: third-generation prospect theory (PT). This retains the predictive power of previous versions of prospect theory, but extends that theory by allowing reference points to be uncertain while decision weights are specified in a rank-dependent way. We show that PT preferences respect a state-conditional form of stochastic dominance. The theory ...

In this report, we consider prediction of an agent’s preferences over risky monetary outcomes using Prospect Theory. We suppose that for a given agent we have data on previous prospects that the agent has accepted or declined. Based on this information, we would like to predict whether the agent will accept some new prospect X∗. This amounts to learning a value function v and probability weight...