Standard operating policy and hedging policies are commonly used for reservoir operation for municipal or irrigation water supply. Application of these policies to hydropower reservoir operation is complex. In this paper, new standard operating policies and standard hedging policy are proposed for hydropower reservoir operation. The newly proposed policies were applied to the operation of Indir...

A reservoir operation model of Mun Bon and Lam Chae reservoirs was developed to simulate reservoir operation using a hedging policy. A variety of common hedging forms was specified, including one-point hedging, two-point hedging and zone-based hedging. The simulated results were compared with the standard operating policy and probability based rule curve. The percentage of failure frequency, av...

H igh price volatility and the risk are the main features of commodity markets. One way to reduce this risk is to apply the hedging policy by future contracts. In this regard, in this paper, we will calculate the optimal hedging ratios for OPEC oil. In this study, besides the multivariate GARCH models, for the first time we use conditional copula models for modelling dependence struc...

In planning and scheduling of production systems manufacturers have two main strategies for responding to uncertainty: they build inventory to hedge against periods in which the production capacity is not suucient to satisfy demand, or they temporarily increase the production capacity. We consider the problem of minimizing the long-run average cost of holding inventory and/or purchasing extra c...

This paper presents the optimal flow control for a one-machine, two-product manufacturing system subject to random failures and repairs. The machine capacity process is assumed to be a finite state Markov chain. The problem is to choose the production rates so as to minimize the expected discounted cost of inventory/backlog over an infinite horizon. We first show that for constant demand rates ...

We consider the problem of dynamically hedging the profits of a corporation when these profits are correlated with returns in the financial markets. In particular, we consider the general problem of simultaneously optimizing over both the operating policy and the hedging strategy of the corporation. We discuss how different informational assumptions give rise to different types of hedging and s...

This paper characterizes optimal currency hedging in several models of downside risk. We consider, in turn, three models of hedging: (i) a firm that chooses its hedging policy in the presence of bankruptcy costs; (ii) an all equity firm that faces a convex tax schedule; and (iii) a firm whose manager is subject to loss aversion. In all these models, and contrary to conventional wisdom, we show ...

Macrohedging is a hedging technique commonly used in practice. It allows one to find a hedging policy that offsets several underlying risk factors of a portfolio of assets as a whole. Here, we develop a macrohedging methodology in a general semimartingale market. We calculate the optimal macrohedge that achieves minimum risk, in a quadratic-variation sense, given a set of possible hedging instr...

Hedging is widely used to mitigate severe water shortages in the operation of reservoirs during droughts. Rationing is usually instituted with one hedging policy, which is based only on one trigger, i.e., initial storage level or current water availability. It may perform poorly in balancing the benefits of a release during the current period versus those of carryover storage during future drou...

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