Gold price forecast is of great importance. Many models were presented by researchers to forecast gold price. It seems that although different models could forecast gold price under different conditions, the new factors affecting gold price forecast have a significant importance and effect on the increase of forecast accuracy. In this paper, different factors were studied in comparison to the p...

Gold price has significant nonlinearity and time-variance with many indeterminate influencing factors. In order to improve the forecast accuracy of gold price, this paper puts forward a gold price forecast model combing projection pursuit with neural network. At first, projection pursuit algorithm is used to screen the influencing factors, and then the influencing factors are used as the input ...

this paper investigates the forecasting gold coin futures contract price in iran mercantile exchange. this research has presented a hybrid model based on genetic fuzzy systems (gfs) and artificial neural network (ann) to forecast the gold futures contract, at first, we use stepwise regression analysis (sra) to determine factors which have most influence on stock prices. at the next stage we div...

The forecast of fluctuations and prices is the major concern in financial markets. Thus, developing an accurate and robust forecasting decision model is critically favorable to the investors. As gold has shown a special capability to smooth inflation fluctuations, governors use gold as a price controlling lever. Thus, more information about future gold price trends will help to make the firm de...

Problem statement: Forecasting is a function in management to assist decision making. It is also described as the process of estimation in unknown future situations. In a more general term it is commonly known as prediction which refers to estimation of time series or longitudinal type data. Gold is a precious yellow commodity once used as money. It was made illegal in USA 41 years ago, but is ...

This study gives an inside view of the application of ARIMA time series model to forecast the future Gold price in Indian browser based on past data from November 2003 to January 2014 to mitigate the risk in purchases of gold. Hence, to give guideline for the investor when to buy or sell the yellow metal. This financial instrument has gained a lot of momentum in recent past as Indian economy is...