In this paper, we have examined 4 models for Great Salt Lake level forecasting: ARMA (Auto-Regression and Moving Average), ARFIMA (Auto-Regressive Fractional Integral and Moving Average), GARCH (Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) and FIGARCH (Fractional Integral Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity). Through our empirical data analysis where we div...

in general, energy prices, such as those of crude oil, are affected by deterministic events such as seasonal changes as well as non-deterministic events such as geopolitical events. it is the non-deterministic events which cause the prices to vary randomly and makes price prediction a difficult task. one could argue that these random changes act like noise which effects the deterministic variat...

This work introduces a generalized framework for automatically tuning stencil computations to achieve superior performance on a broad range of multicore architectures. Stencil (nearest-neighbor) based kernels constitute the core of many important scientific applications involving block-structured grids. Auto-tuning systems search over optimization strategies to find the combination of tunable p...

Bullous pemphigoid is a subepidermal blistering disease associated with auto-antibodies (auto-ab) to BP180 and BP230. We developed ELISAs utilizing baculovirus-encoded recombinant proteins of BP230 and BP180 and studied their diagnostic and prognostic values by assessing the profile of the auto-ab response in 127 patients with BP. 39 patients had focal involvement, whereas 88 had generalized di...

Results 724 teachers (8%) completed the survey. 48% had at least one student under their direct supervision with a severe allergy. 28% believed that all students with severe allergies had a management plan for treatment. 18% never reviewed this plan. More than 80% were confident in recognizing and knowing what to do for a severe reaction, and in using an epinephrine auto-injector. Teachers lear...

Symmetries of the auto-cumulant function (the generalization of the auto-covariance function) of a kth-order stationary time series are derived through a connection with the symmetric group of degree k. Using theory of group representations, symmetries of the auto-cumulant function are demystified and lag-window functions are symmetrized to satisfy these symmetries. A generalized Gabr-Rao optim...

abstract exchange rate volatility is one of the effective and ambiguous factors in agricultural products export. regarding the importance of agricultural trade, to avoid single-product economy, the main aim of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on the pistachio export of iran during 1338-1386. for this purpose, exchange rate volatility index was estimated using ...

Recent work has shown how denoising and contractive autoencoders implicitly capture the structure of the data-generating density, in the case where the corruption noise is Gaussian, the reconstruction error is the squared error, and the data is continuous-valued. This has led to various proposals for sampling from this implicitly learned density function, using Langevin and Metropolis-Hastings ...