نتایج جستجو برای: general circulation model
تعداد نتایج: 2741841 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
abstract in this paper, we modeled the climate of iran for future periods. each period is a 30-years period centered on a year. the range of periods is from 2000 (i.e., 1986-2015) to 2100 (i.e., 2086-2115). this was made using 2 general circulation models (echam4 and hadcm2) and 18 ipcc scenarios. magicc-scengen was used as a tool for downscaling gcm low resolution output data. result of hadcm2...
precipitation data is of utmost importance to carry out many hydro-meteorological studies. observed warming over several decades has been linked to changes in the large-scale hydrological cycle such as: increasing atmospheric water vapour content, changing precipitation patterns, intensity and extremes, reduced snow cover and widespread melting of ice, and changes in soil moisture and runoff. p...
abstract due to low spatial resolution or simplifying of some micrometeorological phenomena, atmospheric general circulation models are not able to give a good estimation for weather conditions over study area. so their outputs should downscale into weather stations scales. in this research data of hadcm3 downscaled by using lars-wg5 with three scenarios, confirmed by ipcc including a1b, a2 and...
abstract in this research, four meteorological set of data including maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation and radiation from echo-g, under a1scenario have been used for climate change detection over south khorasan. echo-g is a general circulation model that currently is used in hamburg university and korea meteorological research institute. in this research climate change ass...
abstract background: weather and climate play a significant role in human health. we are accustomed to affects the weather conditions. by increasing or decreasing the environment temperature or change of seasons, some diseases become prevalent or remove. this study investigated the role of temperature in cardiovascular disease mortality of city of mashhad in the current decade and its simulatio...
امروزه پدیده ی تغییر اقلیم به عنوان یک معضل جدی گریبان گیر کشورهای جهان شده است، به نظر می رسد که اکوسیستم ها به طور ویژه ای از این تغییرات آسیب بینند، از این رو مطالعه ی روند تغییرات متغیرهای اقلیمی در درازمدت اهمیت ویژه ای در بررسی های اقلیمی و پیش بینی آن در آینده خواهد داشت. پدیده ی بارش تابع عوامل زیادی می باشد که پیش بینی آن به روش های معمول آماری از دقت کمی برخوردار است. روش های مختلفی ب...
The UVic Earth System Climate Model (version 2.8 with parameters as described in detail in (28)) includes a three-dimensional ocean general circulation model, a dynamicthermodynamic sea ice model, a simple one-layer energy-moisture balance model of the atmosphere as well as land-surface and dynamic terrestrial vegetation components at a resolution of 1.8°×3.6° with 19 vertical levels in the oce...
abstract the climate change was known to force local hydrology, through changes in the pattern of precipitation, temperature and the other hydrological variables. in this research, the impact of global warming on maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration (wheat, corn, tomato and sugar beet) of kashafrood basin under two climate change scenarios (a2 and b2), and the o...
abstract development and evaluation of mitigation strategies are very crucial to manage climate change risk. research objectives of this study were (1) to quantify the response of maize grain yield to potential impacts of climate change and (2) to investigate the effectiveness of changing sowing date of maize as a mitigation option for khorasan province which is located in northeast of iran. tw...
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