The prediction of extratropical cyclones by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) has been investigated using an objective feature tracking methodology to identify and track the cyclones along the forecast trajectories. Overall the results show that the ECMWF EPS has a slight...

The influence of oceanic changes on tropical cyclone activity is investigated using observational estimates of sea surface temperature (SST), air–sea fluxes, and ocean subsurface thermal structure during the period 1998– 2007. SST conditions are examined before, during, and after the passage of tropical cyclones, through Lagrangian composites along cyclone tracks across all ocean basins, with p...

The number of tropical cyclones observed in the Australian region (south of equator; 105-160~ has apparently declined since the start of reliable (satellite) observations in the 1969/70 season. However, the number of more intense cyclones (with minimum pressures dropping to 970 hPa or lower) has increased slightly. The numbers of weak (minimum pressures not dropping below 990 hPa) and moderate ...

the southern coasts of caspian sea is subjected to synoptic/mesoscale weather systemsranging from locally enhanced sea breeze formation and small local front systems to synoptic scale cyclones.this study presents climatology of cyclones over the southern coasts of caspian sea covering a ten year period1996-2005. altogether 57 cyclones were formed during the ten year period. anoticeable seasonal...

This discussion paper is/has been under review for the journal Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP). Please refer to the corresponding final paper in ACP if available. Abstract It is well known that the storm tracks are a preferred region of stratosphere–troposphere exchange (STE), but a systematic and climatological investigation of the connection between cyclones and STE has not yet been p...

Tropical cyclones are relatively rare weather events, yet they consistently rank among the world’s deadliest and costliest natural hazards. In the United States, tropical cyclones account for nearly $10 billion annually in economic damages (1), and damages from Hurricane Sandy (2012) are estimated to be over $50 billion. Understanding the role of these events within Earth’s climate system is of...

1D3D and 2D2D cyclones were tested at Amarillo, Texas, to evaluate the effect of air density on cyclone performance. Both airflow rate and cyclone inlet velocity change with the change in air density. Two sets of inlet design velocities determined by the different air densities were used for the tests: one set based on the actual airflow, and the other set based on standard airflow. Experimenta...

5 Developing wave packets associated with the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cy6 clones and winter cyclones in the Western North Pacific (WNP) and Atlantic basins are 7 diagnosed observationally by compositing reanalysis data over a 32 year period. While the 8 development of winter cyclones amplifies a weaker wave packet moving through the mid9 latitude storm track, there is no indic...