we use the basic binomial option pricing method but allow someor all the parameters in the model to be uncertain and model this uncertaintyusing fuzzy numbers. we show that with the fuzzy model we can, with areasonably small number of steps, consider almost all possible future stockprices; whereas the crisp model can consider only n + 1 prices after n steps.

The Poisson-Gamma model has properties that are very similar to the Poisson model discussed in Appendix C, in which the dependent variable i y is modeled as a Poisson variable with a mean i  where the model error is assumed to follow a Gamma distribution. As it names implies, the Poisson-Gamma is a mixture of two distributions and was first derived by Greenwood and Yule (1920). This mixture di...

We use the basic binomial option pricing method but allow someor all the parameters in the model to be uncertain and model this uncertaintyusing fuzzy numbers. We show that with the fuzzy model we can, with areasonably small number of steps, consider almost all possible future stockprices; whereas the crisp model can consider only n + 1 prices after n steps.

BACKGROUND The beta-binomial model is one of the methods that can be used to validly combine event rates from overdispersed binomial data. Our objective is to provide a full description of this method and to update and broaden its applications in clinical and public health research. METHODS We describe the statistical theories behind the beta-binomial model and the associated estimation metho...