the purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of the timing of bank failure/merger in 10 asian countries over the period of 1999-2007 using a multivariate logit model and a split population duration analysis. apart from bank-specific information, we also focus on the effects of macroeconomic and financial characteristics. the following empirical findings are obtained. first, the resu...

We observe many episodes in which a large number of people attempt to withdraw their deposits from a bank, forcing it to suspend withdrawals or even to fail. In contrast with the view that those episodes are driven by consumers’ panic or sunspots, we propose to explain them as a consequence of the conjunction of lack of full back up of deposits by banks, and of an unexpectedly high fraction of ...

British banking during the period 1860 to 1908 experienced a number of bank failures. For example, between 1880 and 1890 there were 29 bank failures. The failure of a bank not only affects the depositors of that bank but also other banks, their shareholders, the monetary system and general economic stability. The main reason for the latter is the loss in public confidence in the banking system ...

This paper proposes a novel model for the prediction of bank failures, on the basis of both macroeconomic and bank-specific microeconomic factors. As bank failures are rare, in the paper we apply a regression method based on extreme value theory, which turns out to be more effective than classical logistic regression models, as it better leverages the information in the tail of the default dist...

D eposit insurance was created, at least in part, to prevent unfounded bank failures caused by contagion. The legislation that created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was driven by the widespread bank failures of the Great Depression. In the years immediately before the 1934, when the FDIC began insuring bank deposits, over onethird of all extant banks failed. Many observers ar...

The credit hypothesis maintains that nonmonetary factors worsen declines in output during severe economic contractions, which has been a prominent rationale for stringent bank regulation. We apply recent advances in time series analysis to re-examine the role of U.S. bank failures in the Great Depression. In brief, month-by-month decompositions of output, prices, money supply, the liabilities o...

We formulate the “High Liquidity Creation Hypothesis” (HLCH) that a proliferation in core activity of bank liquidity creation increases failure probability. test HLCH context Russian banking, where many failures occurred albeit not triggered by swings business cycles or an exogenous shock such as crisis. Using Berger and Bouwman (2009) measures, we find high is associated with greater probabili...