نتایج جستجو برای: 8 gcm models under 6 emission scenarios are downscaled by lars
تعداد نتایج: 9947861 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
assessing the potential impacts of 21st-century climate change on species distributions and ecological processes requires climate scenarios with sufficient spatial resolution. in this study we projected future changes in maximum temperature and minimum temperature under cmip3 sres and cmip5 rcps scenarios with two station-based datasets (arazkoseh and nodeh) of the eastern golestan province. ch...
abstract the climate change was known to force local hydrology, through changes in the pattern of precipitation, temperature and the other hydrological variables. in this research, the impact of global warming on maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration (wheat, corn, tomato and sugar beet) of kashafrood basin under two climate change scenarios (a2 and b2), and the o...
Using climate scenarios from only 1 or a small number of global models (GCMs) in change impact studies may lead to biased assessment due large uncertainty projections. Ensemble means projections derived multi-GCM ensemble are often used as best estimates reduce bias. However, it is time consuming run process-based (e.g. hydrological and crop models) using numerous scenarios. It would be interes...
in agricultural meteorology, the growing season is the period within each year when crops can be grown from a view of thermal conditions. this period is in general, between the last and first frost dates in spring and autumn when temperature is above a specific threshold. there are two other definitions when using a 5 °c as threshold. one of the methods employed in studying future climate is us...
drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...
Understanding the variations of streamflow of rivers is an important prerequisite for designing hydraulic structures as well as managing surface water resources in basins. An overview of the impact of climate change on the streamflow in the Hablehroud River, the main river of a semi-arid basin in north-central Iran, is provided. Using the LARS-WG statistical downscaling model, the outputs of Ha...
According to studies and research of Hadley Climate Prediction Center, in the 21st century, pervasive and severe drought, will be threatened the lives of millions of people around the world because of global warming. Forasmuch as the drought affects different sectors of society, therefore, monitoring and evaluation of this phenomenon in the future to proper planning is essential. To this end, t...
introduction linking resolution global climate models to local scale as a micro climatic process is a significant issue. recently, attempts have been made by the climatology scientists to develop dynamics and statistical downscaling methods to express climate change at a local and regional scale. two general techniques are been used for downscaling of the output of general circulation models (g...
the objective of this study was to evaluate the ability of ten gcms and three emission scenarios to reproduce the rainfall and temperature parameters in kermanshah, ravansar and west islamabad stations located inside qaresou basin in iran using the average weighting method, over 1989-2008 period. at first, the models output and the scenarios were provided for this period. then, the models valid...
The climate changes have an important role in distribution of plant species. Statistical species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to predict the changes in species distribution under climate change scenarios. In the peresent study, the distribution of Alopecurus textilis in the current and future climate condition (2050) under the influence of climate change and two scenarios of RCP 4...
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