Article history: Received 5 April 2014 Received in revised form 30 August 2014 Accepted 11 October 2014 Available online 11 November 2014 A typical foresight process involves stakeholders exploring the futures and interpreting the results to present actions. In other words, participants create knowledge about the future. Interaction between the participants is a key ingredient of foresight, yet...

Four experiments examined when laypeople attribute unexpected experimental outcomes to error, in foresight and in hindsight, along with their judgments of whether the data should be published. Participants read vignettes describing hypothetical experiments, along with the result of the initial observation, considered as either a possibility (foresight) or a reality (hindsight). Experiment 1 fou...

Article history: Received 16 January 2014 Received in revised form 17 May 2015 Accepted 19 May 2015 Available online 10 June 2015 Foresight processes help decision makers plan for potential, desirable or probable futures. With increasing unpredictability, under pressure of time and in multi-agency situations, however, traditional foresight and strategic management fail. In this paper, we redefi...

Today, the increasingly faster technological advances make the competition ever-fiercer in the business environment. This situation has laid emphasis on the importance of technology foresight for corporations to plan and even shape their futures for a long term. However, the conventional methods do not overcome the problems with the overload and heterogeneity of information in the current infor...

We study a general equilibrium model where the multiplicity of stationary periodic perfect foresight equilibria is pervasive. We investigate the extentof which agents can learn to coordinate on stationary perfect foresight cycles. The example economy, taken from Grandmont (1985), is an endowment overlapping generations model with fiat money, where consumption in the first and second periods of ...

The aim of this paper is to demonstrate the relationship between a particular epistemological perspective and foresight methodology. We draw on a body of social theory concerned with the way that meaning is produced and assimilated by society; specifically, the social construction of knowledge, which is distinguished from its near-neighbour constructivism by its focus on inter-subjectivity. We ...

Article history: Received 4 February 2012 Received in revised form 29 September 2012 Accepted 2 October 2012 Available online xxxx Foresight the ability to plan and think systematically about future scenarios in order to inform decision-making in the present has been applied extensively by corporations and governments alike in crisis management. Foresight can be complicated because dispersed gr...