Predicting the peak-season (July–September) tropical cyclones (TCs) in Southeast Asia (SEA) several months ahead remains challenging, related to limited understanding and prediction of dynamics affecting variability SEA TC activity. Here, we introduce a new statistical approach sequentially identify mutually independent predictors for occurrence frequency TCs South China Sea (SCS) east Philippi...

Supply and demand for electricity show conciderable fluctuations with season and time of day. Novel market-based methods for supply – demand matching are currently investigated in a European project. This report covers a first set of simulations using the Consec algorithm on the time-scale of day-ahead power markets. Furthermore it describes simulations under preparation within the project. The...

A stochastic dynamic model of reproduction and a deterministic cow-herd economic simulation model were used to evaluate how management decisions and reproductive performance interact to influence net income in a cow-calf operation (1,000 cows) for 1 yr of production. The stochastic model was used to determine herd performance when length of breeding season (45, 70, or 120 d) interacted with thr...

In this paper‎, ‎the impacts of premium bounds of put option contracts on the operation of put option and day-ahead electricity markets are studied‎. ‎To this end‎, ‎first a comprehensive equilibrium model for a joint put option and day-ahead markets is presented‎. ‎Interaction between put option and day-ahead markets‎, ‎uncertainty in fuel price, impact of premium bounds, and elasticity of con...

The Sahel is a dust source region where emission could be drastically modified in the future due to climatic and land use changes. Based on observations of meteorological parameters concentration for about 1,000 rain events, we investigated processes leading during rainy season when Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) regularly cross Sahel. We show that highest wind speed strongly linked MCS co...

Due to the impact of climate change, the process of salinity intrusion occurs frequently in coastal areas of Vietnam. The main objective of this study is therefore to try diff erent nanofi ltration (NF) processes (such as single-stage and dual-stage NF) to treat brackish water for residential areas in Thu Bon river basin, where the salinity varies signifi cant with seas...