This paper analyses how increased offshoring impacts on labor income risk. It is therefore distinct from a large number of studies explaining the level effects of globalization on the labor market in that it takes a look at effects on the variability of incomes. It provides an assessment that directly connects labor income risk and offshoring trends in a panel setting at the industry level. Imp...

Little empirical work has quantified the transitory effects of macroeconomic shocks on farm production behavior or on interhousehold differences in response to disruptions. We develop a simple analytical model to explain how macroeconomic shocks might temporarily divert managerial attention, thereby affecting farm-level productivity, but perhaps to different degrees and for different durations ...

This paper considers the implications of the permanent/transitory decomposition of shocks for identi…cation of structural models in the general case where the model might contain more than one permanent structural shock. It provides a simple and intuitive generalization of the in‡uential work of Blanchard and Quah (1989), and shows that structural equations with known permanent shocks can not c...

In this paper we review the evidence on the impact of large shocks, such as drought, on child and adult health, with particular emphasis on Zimbabwe and Ethiopia. Our focus is on the impact of shocks on long-term outcomes, and we ask whether there are intrahousehold differences in these effects. The evidence suggests substantial fluctuations in body weight and growth retardation in response to ...

Abstract We study the impact of fiscal revenue shocks on local policy. focus very volatile revenues from immovable property gains tax in canton Zurich, Switzerland, and analyze behavior following large rare positive negative transitory shocks. apply causal machine learning strategies implement post-double-selection LASSO method to identify effect public finances. find that policymakers predomin...

Recent empirical work finds evidence of highly nonlinear wealth dynamics among Boran pastoralists of southern Ethiopia, consistent with the hypothesis of poverty traps. This paper explores the consequences of such dynamics for informal inter-household transfers. Using original primary data on social networks and transfers, we find that asset transfers respond to recipients’ losses, but only so ...

In this paper we review the evidence on the impact of large shocks, such as drought, on child and adult health, with particular emphasis on Zimbabwe and Ethiopia. Our focus is on the impact of shocks on long-term outcomes, and we ask whether there are intrahousehold differences in these effects. The evidence suggests substantial fluctuations in body weight and growth retardation in response to ...

In an unobserved components framework of US output trend and cycle, this paper seeks to determine the causal interaction between permanent and transitory innovations. For the purpose of identification, strategies of augmenting the cyclical dynamics as well as allowing for shifts in volatility are proposed. In the early 1980s, substantial predominance of cycle shocks gives way to strong negative...

This paper uses restrictions implied by cointegration to identify the permanent and transitory elements (the “trendÔand “cyclicalÔ) of household asset wealth. We focus our attention on a cointegrated system of three aggregate variables that are clearly central to the behavior of household spending: consumption, asset wealth and labor earnings. Because this cointegrated system is motivated by a ...