in this study, in order to consider the effects of cash flow fluctuations on project profitability, the new risk kind indicators are proposed to assess projects risk. firstly, project cash flow calculates on the basis of cost and revenue data in an lng project. then distribution curves of two variables, oil price and interest rate of foreign loans, are utilized to determine distribution curve o...

The problem of optimal portfolio selection has attracted a great attention in the finance and optimization field. The future stock price should be predicted in an acceptable precision, and a suitable model and criterion for risk and the expected return of the stock portfolio should be proposed in order to solve the optimization problem. In this paper, two new criterions for the risk of stock pr...

I n the classic revenue management (RM) problem of selling a fixed quantity of perishable inventories to price-sensitive non-strategic consumers over a finite horizon, the optimal pricing decision at any time depends on two important factors: consumer valuation and bid price. The former is determined exogenously by the demand side, while the latter is determined jointly by the inventory level o...

In the context of open-pit mine planning, uncertainties including commodity price would significantly affect the technical and financial aspects of mining projects. A mine planning that takes place regardless of the uncertainty in price just develops an optimized plan at the starting time of the mining operation. Given the price change over the life of mine, which is quite certain, optimality o...

We derive a closed-form solution for the price of a European call option in the presence of ambiguity about the stochastic process that determines the variance of the underlying asset's return. The option pricing formula of Heston (1993) is a particular case of ours, corresponding to the case in which there is no ambiguity (uncertainty is exclusively risk). In the presence of ambiguity, the var...

S risk refers to the risk of collapse of an entire complex system as a result of the actions taken by the individual component entities or agents that comprise the system. Systemic risk is an issue of great concern in modern financial markets as well as, more broadly, in the management of complex business and engineering systems. We propose an axiomatic framework for the measurement and managem...

the main goal in carrying out this paper was to investigate the impacts of government’s support policies on income risk of egg producers in iran during years 1989-2008. index ccv, was employed to assess the variation in income of the producers. the results revealed that, market price support along with the overall support policies lead to a lowering of the percentage variations in income risk o...

In this paper we distinguish between operational risks depending on whether the operational risk naturally arises in the context of model risk. As the pricing model exposes itself to operational errors whenever it updates and improves its investment model and other related parameters. In this case, it is no longer optimal to implement the best model. Generally, an option is exercised in a jump-...

We develop a model that fleshes out, extends, and modifies existing models of referencedependent preferences and loss aversion, with the goal of making the theory more broadly applicable. Our model 1) allows for stochastic reference points; 2) accommodates a realistic form of flexibility in the “psychological dimensions” relevant for evaluating gains and losses; 3) combines the reference-depend...