In this paper we show that integrated environmental modelling (IEM) techniques can be used to generate a catastrophe model for groundwater flooding. Catastrophe models are probabilistic models based upon sets of events representing the hazard and weights their likelihood with the impact of such an event happening which is then used to estimate future financial losses. These probabilistic loss e...

Genotoxic stress such as ionizing radiation halts entry into mitosis by activation of the G2 DNA damage checkpoint. The CHK1 inhibitor 7-hydroxystaurosporine (UCN-01) can bypass the checkpoint and induce unscheduled mitosis in irradiated cells. Precisely, how cells behave following checkpoint abrogation remains to be defined. In this study, we tracked the fates of individual cells after checkpo...

Extended abstract We show that the cusp catastrophe model explains the crash of stock exchanges much better than alternative linear and logistic models. On the data of U.S. stock markets we demonstrate that the crash of October 19, 1987 may be better explained by cusp catastrophe theory, which is not true for the crash of Sept. 11, 2001. With the help of sentiment measures, such as index put/ca...

We investigate how a catastrophic event (modeled as a temporary fall of the reproduction rate) increases the extinction probability of an isolated self-regulated stochastic population. Using a variant of the Verhulst logistic model as an example, we combine the probability generating function technique with an eikonal approximation to evaluate the exponentially large increase in the extinction ...

The measured high-resolution energy profile of a selective adsorption resonance in the scattering of He atoms from NaCl~001! is found to exhibit a mixed-extrema structure reminiscent of a Fano-type function. An analysis of the topological properties of the resonance line shape as a function of the surface temperature reveals a behavior which is isomorphic to the simplest elementary catastrophe,...