The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the determinants of tourism demand by utilizing panel data for the period of 1995-2011 from top 20 countries sending tourists to Turkey. Econometric results obtained from panel cointegration analysis show that macroeconomic factors as such income, prices, supply capacity, exchange rate and political stability play a significant role in determi...

The inboard tourism demand forecasting is very important to the development of tourism industry. In this paper, the SVR model is adopted to forecast monthly inbound tourism demand of China. And the elitist Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGAII) is used to parameter optimization. The NSGAII algorithm can reduce complexity of the algorithm, keeps the diversity of population and increasi...

In the present international political and economic context, the problem of how to deal with stagnation and possible decline in tourism demand is pressing. In this paper, we examine how mature tourism destinations might address this problem. We focus on the patterns of development and land use regulation followed in the two largest destinations in the Oceanic ‘sun and surf’ tourism market – Haw...

The present paper aims to assess the importance of different factors influencing demand conditions for a tourist destination on the basis of individual stakeholder perceptions. The relationship between the tourist demand conditions and individual influential factors, such as inherited resources, created resources, supporting factors and resources, destination management and situational conditio...

since tourism revenues play an important role in the economic performance of national economies, specifying factors affecting it and examination of demand for tourism have economic significance . a partial adjustment model of short run and long run demand for tourism short run and long run demand for tourism has been specified. the period of study is 1331-88 and the estimation method is ols. th...

Tourism, one of the biggest industries in many countries, has been considered a complexly integrated and self-contained economic activity.As key determinants of thetourism demand are not fully identified to some extent different forecasting models vary in thelevel of accuracy. By comparing the performance of diverse forecasting models,including the linear regression, autoregressive integrated m...

Discussion Papers are a series of manuscripts in their draft form. They are not intended for circulation or distribution except as indicated by the author. For that reason Discussion Papers may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of the author. Abstract This paper analyzes the responsiveness of Thai outbound tourism to East Asian destinations, to changes in effective re...

The importance of environmental responsibility in tourism is widely accepted. Two main paradigms have emerged: ecotourism – a demand-driven concept limited to nature-based tourism and sustainable tourism – a supply-sided view characterized by industry regulations. Unfortunately, ecotourism is limited in size, and supply-sided measures implicitly contradict the short-term aim of profit-maximizat...

Despite the existence of several weather studies in the tourism literature, there remain some gaps in knowledge. Uncertainty about weather conditions persists despite the impressive improvements in modern forecasting techniques. This study is a first attempt to investigate how weather uncertainty affects tourism demand. The findings indicate that the impact of weather on tourism demand is likel...

This article explored into the advantages of Web data application in forecasting tourism demand in China. The authors constructed a mapping relation between Web information organization and tourism demand, and elaborated the methods of using Web data mining Carries to analyze and forecast tourism demands and the principles of constructing the knowledge library based on Web data analysis with cl...