E-government foresight is a major issues for many countries. It is a systematic approach for looking into the long-term futures. E-government initiatives are currently at a stage of integration and new orientation in developing countries. Smaller steps of government modernization have in part been successfully implemented; larger ones still lie ahead of us. This demands a framework for e-govern...

Foresight has evolved as a distinct prospective analytical tool: it considers alternative futures of various S&T fields or socio-economic systems by bringing together the perspectives of various stakeholder groups, and thus assists the decision-making processes at different levels. However, in order to avoid hypes — and subsequent disappointments — about what foresight can deliver, the potentia...

Journal of Futures Studies, August 2009, 14(1): 1 26 Is there a way to gauge whether one person is more proactive than another about the future? Furthermore, could any of an individual's proactive behavior be explained by their internal disposition, or what Dian (2003) calls a person's foresight style? This paper is a response to Dian's (2009) recent paper introducing the Foresight Styles Asses...

Science under the direction of the Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government. Foresight creates challenging visions of the future to ensure effective strategies now. Details of all the reports and papers produced within this Foresight project can be obtained from the Foresight website (www.foresight.gov.uk). Any queries may also be directed through this website. This report was commissioned by ...

In Deutsche Bank Research – the independent think tank of Deutsche Bank Group – a group of analysts is delivering foresight for the company's decision-makers, the clients of Deutsche Bank Group, and the interested public. Since a bank's business is assessing, transforming and taking on risk, one of the main tasks of Deutsche Bank Research ́s Macro Trends team is to quantitatively and qualitative...

We study the impact of foresight in a transboundary pollution game; i.e. the ability of a country to control its emissions taking into account the relationship between current emissions and future levels of pollution and thus on future damages. We show that when all countries are myopic, i.e., choose the ’laisser-faire’ policy, their payoffs are smaller than when all countries are farsighted, i...

Technology foresight has attracted increasingly more attention from the government and academia as well as industries since 1990s. However, the impact of technology foresight on national strategic decision-making varies from countries to countries. This paper tries to introduce the technology foresight towards 2020 in China which conducted by the research group in the Chinese Academy of Science...

The paper presents issues related to a systemic approach for the development of foresight studies. Necessary steps are identified and most common methods are analyses, with their weakness and straits. The authors make a point in underlining that foresight is not about methods, but about management of change. Four metastrategies of change are described. Change as an organizational process has be...

We develop a method for measuring the foresight agents have. We first dichotomize an agent’s information at current date t into knowledge up to date t 1 f and expectations after t 1 f. We then form a residual-based test statistic that allows us to compare prediction errors for econometric models based on different values of f. We illustrate the method, examining investment around tax reforms to...