a r t i c l e i n f o Keywords: Electricity spot price Spikes Markov regime-switching Heteroscedasticity Inverse leverage effect One of the most profound features of electricity spot prices are the price spikes. Markov regime-switching (MRS) models seem to be a natural candidate for modeling this spiky behavior. However, in the studies published so far, the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model...

American U.S. crude oil prices have dropped significantly of late down to a low of less than $30 a barrel in early 2016. At the same time price volatility has increased and crude in storage has reached record amounts in the U.S. America. Low oil prices in particular pose quite a challenge for the survival of U.S. America’s tight-oil industry. In this paper we assess the current profitability an...

In this article we present a framework to analyze the efficiency-enhancing impact of contingency contracts. At the beginning of the contract, market session in period 0, the seller announces a two-part tariff applicable to obtaining options on slots of his capacity. This entitles the buyer to a non-storable good or dated service provided by the seller. The buyer in turn decides how many options...

This chapter presents some results of an econometric analysis (developed in Patrick and Wolak 2001b) of customer-level demands for electricity of large and medium-sized industrial and commercial customers purchasing electricity under half-hourly spot prices and demand charges coincident with system peaks in the England and Wales (E&W) electricity market. These estimates can be used to forecast ...

This paper thoroughly investigates the price dynamics of carbon spot and futures returns for the first commitment period ranging from 2008 to 2012 with the aim to develop an adequate spot-returns-model. We apply a broad spectrum of various GARCH models including different distributions for model innovations. Both time series, spot and futures returns, exhibit asymmetric behavior in their varian...

In this paper we investigate the simulation of real and reactive power spot markets. While spot pricing of real power remains a viable option for the creation of a power system market, the future of a reactive power spot market remains cloudy. The large capital investment portion needed in pricing reactive power as well as the highly volatile nature of reactive power spot prices makes the creat...

Wireless networks are now proliferating due to the success of the IEEE 802.11b protocol, also known as “Wi-Fi” (Wireless Fidelity). A Wi-Fi network is characterized by a set of base stations (also called access points) placed throughout the environment and connected to the traditional wired LANs. This technology allows nomadic users a broadband access to the Internet if they are in the transmis...

We derive the optimal crowdfunding contract of a financially constrained monopolist and analyze its implications for production, investment and welfare. Crowdfunding contracts may serve as a price-discrimination mechanism, forcing pivotal consumers to pay a premium above the future spot price, thus increasing profits. When raising funds is costly, entrepreneurs balance the benefits from price d...

The overall topic of this thesis is the valuation of power generation assets under energy and risk constraints. Our focus is on the modeling aspect i.e. to find the right balance between accuracy and computational feasibility. We define a new not yet investigated unit commitment problem that introduces an energy constraint to a thermal power plant. We define a continuous stochastic dynamic prog...

Recent literature on realized volatility suggests that the observed price process of an asset may be decomposed into two parts: the unobservable, efficient price process and microstructure noise. In this article we present a methodology to sequentially estimate spot volatility from noisy data by separating these components. We use different liquidity-based measures, traded volume and quoted spr...