Drought hazards, and the ability to mitigate them with advance warning, offer potentially valuable applications of climate forecast products. Yet the value is often untapped, owing to the gap between climate science and societal decisions. This study bridged that gap; it determined forecast needs among water managers, translated forecasts to meet those needs, and shaped drought decision making ...

Electric load forecasting is a key element for management and operation of the electric grid. In this study we introduce ensemble re-forecast methods that take an initial forecast and produce a better prediction by extracting information from the structured errors. The models in the ensemble rely upon the real-time information obtained from load measurements and estimates over a state-wide doma...

From its inception on, the notion of management support systems (MS) has been closely linked to task structuredness. Using data collected with a survey questionnaire, this article presents the results of an empirical analysis of the relation between task structuredness and satisfaction with MS. Two dimensions of task structuredness are distinguished: task difficulty and task variability. The re...

Infant sleep is a major source of distress in many families. The purpose of this study was to assess infant sleep and parental sleep-related cognitions about infant sleep in clinical and control samples. The clinical sample consisted of 48 infants referred to a sleep clinic because of night-wakings problems. The control sample included 48 infants with no parental complaints about sleep difficul...

The National Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center operational tropical cyclone intensity forecasts for the three major northern hemisphere tropical cyclone basins (Atlantic, eastern North Pacific, and western North Pacific) for the past two decades are examined for long-term trends. Results show that there has been some marginal improvement in the mean absolute error at 24 and 48 h...

in the paper a model to predict the concentrations of particulate matter pm10, pm2.5, so2, no, co and o3 for a chosen number of hours forward is proposed. the method requires historical data for a large number of points in time, particularly weather forecast data, actual weather data and pollution data. the idea is that by matching forecast data with similar forecast data in the historical data...

Abstract A long noted difficulty when assessing calibration (or reliability) of forecasting systems is that calibration, in general, a hypothesis not about finite dimensional parameter but an entire functional relationship. calibrated probability forecast for binary events instance should equal the conditional event given forecast, whatever value forecast. new class tests presented are based on...

BACKGROUND Social, emotional and behavioural development in early to middle childhood impact upon many outcomes in future life and are influenced by home, neighbourhood and school environments. We used linked data to investigate differences between areas in Glasgow City in level of difficulties in pre-school age children, after consideration of demographics, including area-level deprivation. ...

In the present study, linkages were examined between parental behaviors (maternal practices) at bedtime, emotional availability of mothering at bedtime, and infant sleep quality in a cross-sectional sample of families with infants between 1 and 24 months of age. Observations of maternal behaviors and maternal emotional availability were conducted independently by 2 sets of trained observers who...