The need effectively to integrate decision making tasks together with knowledge representation and inference procedures has caused recent research efforts towards the integration of decision support systems with knowledge-based techniques. Explores the potential benefits of such integration in the area of business forecasting. Describes the forecasting process and identifies its main functional...

Short-term energy-consumption forecasting plays an important role in the planning of energy production, transportation and distribution. With widespread adoption decentralised self-generating systems residential communities, short-term load is expected to be performed a distributed manner preserve privacy ensure timely feedback perform reconfiguration distribution network. In this context, edge...

I n this paper, we specify that the GARCH(1,1) model has strong forecasting volatility and its usage under the truncated standard normal distribution (TSND) is more suitable than when it is under the normal and student-t distributions. On the contrary, no comparison was tried between the forecasting performance of volatility of the daily return series using the multi-step ahead forec...

In view of the characteristic that the traffic system is a dynamic and time-varying parameter system, the multi-level recursive forecasting method is proposed, and the multi-level recursive forecasting model of road accidents is established in this thesis. In this method, the forecasting of road accidents is divided into two parts: the forecasting of time-varying parameters and the future forec...

Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. Significant developments in mortality forecasting since 1980 are reviewed under three broad approaches: expectation, extrapolation and explanation. Expectation is not generally a good basis for mortality forecasting as it is subjective; expert expectat...

Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. Significant developments in mortality forecasting since 1980 are reviewed under three broad approaches: expectation, extrapolation and explanation. Expectation is not generally a good basis for mortality forecasting, as it is subjective; expert expecta...