River ow forecasts are required to provide basic information for reservoir management in a multipurpose water system optimisation framework. An accurate prediction of ow rates in tributary streams is crucial to optimise the management of water resources considering extended time horizons. Moreover, runo3 prediction is crucial in protection from water shortage and possible ood damages. In this p...

This project is focused on the design of price forecasting tools for market operators and for market traders, taking into account the distinct purposes, data availability, and time horizons of the distinct users. Empirical price data from the MISO and RTE have been analyzed. A combined model is developed to forecast MISO day-ahead nodal prices. An ARIMA model is constructed to forecast RTE week...

Air pollution forecasts in major urban areas are becoming a problem concerning the day to day environmental management for city authorities. This paper describes the development of an application to forecast the peak ozone levels with the aid of meteorological and air quality variables, in the Greater Athens Area. For this purpose, a number of regression models were considered, while the select...

To resolve the difficulty of parameter estimation of Storm rainfall intensity formulation, a new multicellular GEP parameter estimation algorithm, named MC_GEP_MPO, with a novel individual coding scheme based on Gene Expression Programming algorithm is proposed in this paper. MC_GEP_MPO is used for solving the parameter estimation problem of the single return period of rainfall intensity foreca...

Fluctuations in crude oil price significantly impact the global economic market. A rise or a fall leads to redistribution of wealth in both oil-exporting and importing countries. Under such background, efficient and accurate predictions for crude oil price are critical for a stable economic development. However, crude oil price forecasting has been proved to be an extremely tough task, due to i...

A major challenge for operational numerical weather prediction over the Antarctic and Southern Ocean is the lack of traditional meteorological observations. This increases uncertainty in the model initial condition and results in inferior forecast skills as compared with numerical weather prediction in mid-latitudes over the Northern Hemisphere. With the lack of traditional observations over th...

Electricity smart meters record consumption, on a near real-time basis, at the level of individual commercial and residential properties. From this, a hierarchy can be constructed consisting of time series of demand at the smart meter level, and at various levels of aggregation, such as substations, cities and regions. Forecasts are needed at each level to support the efficient and reliable man...

The concept of a forecast horizon has been widely studied in the operations management/research literature in the context of evaluating the impact of future data on current decisions in a multi-period decision making environment. As a solution approach for computing forecast horizons, integer programming has been largely ignored by the research community. However, the modelling and structural a...

To facilitate communication and the exchange of information between patients, nurses, lab technicians, health insurers, physicians, policy makers, and existing knowledge-based systems, a set of shared standard terminologies and controlled vocabularies are necessary. In modern health information management systems, these vocabularies are defined within formal representations called ontologies, w...