نتایج جستجو برای: fuzzy delphi technique
تعداد نتایج: 700783 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
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Rowe and Wright’s paper "The Delphi Technique as a Forecasting Tool" was initially reviewed by four experts in the area of judgmental forecasting. Following three rounds of revisions, the paper was accepted for publication. It was then sent for commentary by Professors Ayton, Ferrell, and Stewart. The lead paper should be of interest to researchers because it identifies important aspects of the...
The main goal of this paper is to construct three sets of road safety performance indicators, which are regional road safety performance indicators, urban road safety performance indicators and highway safety performance indicators, respectively. Fuzzy Delphi Method and Grey Delphi Method are applied to quantify experts’ attitudes to regional road safety, urban road safety and highway safety. C...
One of the essential factors project success is selecting proper delivery method. This study aimed to provide a new hybrid decision-making framework assist stakeholders in evaluating and most appropriate Project Delivery System (PDS) documenting decision process. For this purpose, selection PDSs were obtained from literature review, critical screened based on fuzzy Delphi method, whereby expert...
[//121] The Delphi technique of aggregating the forecasts of a number of experts on multidisciplinary issues/1/ is a recent development in long-range forecasting. By sequentially polling the experts' opinions, interspersed with feedback of information on the just-previous poll to the experts, consensus is generated. Meanwhile, anonymity is guaranteed in the polling procedures so that social psy...
Article history: Received 22 August 2011 Received in revised form 5 September 2011 Accepted 6 September 2011 Available online 6 October 2011 The Delphi technique has been around for over half a century, so now seems a proper time to consider its past, present and future. This introduction characterises the papers in this special Delphi issue, which include both conceptual and empirical works. I...
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