This study compares the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of various structural and time series exchange rate models. We find that a random walk model performs as well as any estimated model at one to twelve month horizons for the dollar/pound, dollar/mark, dollar/yen and trade-weighted dollar exchange rates. The candidate structural models include the flexible-price (Frenkel-Bilson) and stick...

Several mechanisms contributed to the development of credit rationing of enterprises. First, the abandonment of implicit guarantees on loans extended to enterprises by the Central Bank of Russia prompted commercial banks to shift credit to other groups of borrowers. Second, when the Federal Government moved to finance its budgetary deficit through open-market operations, it crowded out commerci...

The current female donor base consists of three segments: those who have benefited from the advances in women's athletics in the post-Title TX era, those athletes from the pre-Title TX era, and those who may have never par6cipated in sports or attended the ins6tuLion, but are interested in college athletics. In all three of these market segments, athletic departments need to fully appreciate th...

Central banks now generally agree that conventional monetary aggregates are of little use as targets or even indicators for monetary policy, owing to the instability of money demand relations in economies with well-developed financial markets. But monetary theory has provided little guidance for the analysis of policies that are not formulated in terms of a path for the money supply, and a stab...

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the choice between an exchange rate target and an inflation target for Norway. The paper also contains a brief discussion of the objectives of monetary policy and of an optimal delegation of monetary policy in a representative democracy, which serves to place this choice in a broader context. 1 Monetary policy goals Let me start from the presumption that ...

During the last few years we have developed and extended two models for the analysis of pion photo and electroproduction, the Dynamical Model 1 (hereafter called Dubna-Mainz-Taipei (DMT) model) and the Unitary Isobar Model 2 (hereafter called MAID). The final aim of such an analysis is to shed more light on the dynamics involved in nucleon resonance excitations and to extract N resonance proper...

Abstract This study uses annual data over the period 2005-2014 and the Panel VECM approach to examine financial inclusion and monetary policy effectiveness in Africa. The study shows that financial inclusion and monetary policy effectiveness are linked by a set of long-run relationships. Policy reaction to the positive financial inclusion shock is not significant. Policy reaction to the posit...

-Monetary policy operates in a different environment than it did a decade ago. Financial market innovations have eroded the distinctions among monetary assets, making the definition of money increasingly arbitrary. Deregulation of interest rates and banking activity is changing the behavior of the monetary aggregates, as banks pay interest on monetary assets and nonbanks offer monetary-like ass...

Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy* The process of financial globalization has significantly altered the environment in which national monetary policy authorities operate. What implications does this have for the design of monetary policy? The question can be properly addressed only in the context of a model where monetary policy interacts with financial market efficiency. This paper i...

Well before the global financial crisis, the stance of fiscal policy in a number of countries had raised concerns about risks for the outcomes of monetary policy. To provide some insights this paper examines the fiscal-monetary interactions in a novel game theory framework with asynchronous timing of moves. It generalizes the standard commitment concept of Stackelberg leadership by making it dy...