نتایج جستجو برای: vector autoregression

تعداد نتایج: 197902  

2007
PAVEL KOLESNIKOV

For a given variety Var of algebras we define the variety Var of dialgebras. This construction turns to be closely related with varieties of pseudo-algebras: every Var-dialgebra can be embedded into an appropriate pseudo-algebra of the variety Var. In particular, Leibniz algebras are exactly Lie dialgebras, and every Leibniz algebra can be embedded into current Lie conformal algebra.

2015
Peng Chen

This paper investigates the common movements of commodity sectors in China as well as the economic underpinnings of the comovements. We employ a Bayesian dynamic latent factor model to disentangle the common and idiosyncratic sector-specific factors of the prices of a group of China's commodity sectors: petrochemicals, grains, energy, non-ferrous metals, oils & fats, and softs. The results indi...

2011
Haroon Mumtaz

A large empirical literature has examined the transmission mechanism of structural shocks in great detail. The possible role played by changes in the volatility of shocks has largely been overlooked in vector autoregression based applications. This paper proposes an extended vector autoregression where the volatility of structural shocks is allowed to be time-varying and to have a direct impact...

2009
Jonathan H. Wright

This paper proposes Bayesian forecasting in a vector autoregression using a democratic prior. This prior is chosen to match the predictions of survey respondents. In particular, the unconditional mean for each series in the vector autoregression is centered around long-horizon survey forecasts. Heavy shrinkage toward the democratic prior is found to give good real-time predictions of a range of...

Journal: :European Journal of Operational Research 2008
Jian Yang David A. Bessler

This study investigates financial contagion among seven international stock markets around the October 19, 1987 crash. Building on a recent advance in vector autoregression analysis by [Swanson, N., Granger, C.W.J., 1997. Impulse response functions based on a causal approach to residual orthogonalization in vector autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association 92, 357–367], dat...

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