nterest in commodity prices as indicators of consumer price inflation has ebbed and flowed with the rise and fall in commodity prices themselves. True to form, as commodity prices have surged in the last two years (Chart 1), interest in their predictive power has returned. Inflation hawks point to an outpouring of studies in the late 1980s showing a strong empirical connection between commodity...

The paper explores the linkage between equity and commodity markets, focusing in particular on its evolution over time. It documents that a country’s equity market value has significant out-of-sample predictive ability for the future global commodity price index for several primary commodity-exporting countries. The out-of-sample predictive ability of the equity market appears around 2000s. The...

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG's) and Error Correction Models (ECM's) are employed to analyze questions of price discovery between spatially separated commodity markets and the transportation market linking them together. Results from our analysis suggest these markets are highly interconnected but it is the inland commodity market that is strongly influenced by both the transportation and commod...

This paper provides a welfare comparison of a tariff with a combination of a production subsidy to, and a commodity tax on, an import-competing commodity in a two-country economy. We treat some plausible situations of industry protection, including where the initial tariff is above the optimal tariff, where a certain output level of a tariff-imposed commodity must be maintained, and where there...

Due to the leaps of progress in 5G telecommunication industry, commodity pricing and consumer choice are frequently subject change competition search for optimal supply demand. We here utilize a two-stage extensive game with complete information mathematically describe user-supplier interactions on social network. Firstly, an example how apply our model practical wireless system is shown. Then ...

Worldwide concerns over energy optimization and harnessing have sparked a variety of research on utilizing wasted energy. Natural gas, in particular, has been an essential commodity for domestic industrial applications. This paper approaches the same principle throughout Egyptian natural gas conventional national grid. The real case Egypt’s Al-Alamein city line extension is analytically studied...

Commodity storage-assets can be either physical storage-facilities, or contracts guaranteeing their use. Merchants employ them to support their commodity-trading activities in wholesale markets, which are characterized by notoriously volatile prices. Managing a storage asset requires determining an inventory-management policy, which, given a realization of the commodity price, consists of choos...