نتایج جستجو برای: 8 gcm models under 6 emission scenarios are downscaled by lars

تعداد نتایج: 9947861  

Journal: :اکو هیدرولوژی 0
هادی نظری پویا دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا اقلیم‏شناسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران پرویز کردوانی استاد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران، ایران عبدالرضا فرجی راد استاد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم تحقیقات تهران، ایران

climate change is one of the most important factors that will affect different parts of human life on earth and will be adverse effects on environmental resources, economic, social and especially water resources, with changes in rainfall and timing of runoff amount.one of the strategies to mitigate the effects of climate change is to assess its effects on precipitation, temperature and runoff i...

پایان نامه :0 1392

nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...

2016
R Orrego R Abarca-Del-Río A Ávila L Morales

Climate change scenarios are computed on a large scale, not accounting for local variations presented in historical data and related to human scale. Based on historical records, we validate a baseline (1962-1990) and correct the bias of A2 and B2 regional projections for the end of twenty-first century (2070-2100) issued from a high resolution dynamical downscaled (using PRECIS mesoscale model,...

2016
Galina S. Guentchev Richard B. Rood Caspar M. Ammann Joseph J. Barsugli Kristie Ebi Veronica Berrocal Marie S. O’Neill Carina J. Gronlund Jonathan L. Vigh Ben Koziol Luca Cinquini

Foodborne diseases have large economic and societal impacts worldwide. To evaluate how the risks of foodborne diseases might change in response to climate change, credible and usable climate information tailored to the specific application question is needed. Global Climate Model (GCM) data generally need to, both, be downscaled to the scales of the application to be usable, and represent, well...

Journal: :Frontiers in Marine Science 2022

This study quantifies the uncertainties in projected changes potential longshore sediment transport (LST) rates along a non-straight coastline. Four main sources of uncertainty, including choice emission scenarios, Global Circulation Model-driven offshore wave datasets (GCM-Ws), LST models, and their non-linear interactions were addressed through two ensemble modelling frameworks. The first con...

Journal: :international journal of civil engineering 0
m. karamouz school of civil engineering, university of tehran, tehran, iran m. fallahi school of civil engineering., amirkabir university of tech., tehran, iran s. nazif school of civil engineering, university of tehran, tehran, iran m. rahimi farahani school of civil engineering., amirkabir university of tech., tehran

runoff simulation is a vital issue in water resource planning and management. various models with different levels of accuracy and precision are developed for this purpose considering various prediction time scales. in this paper, two models of ihacres (identification of unit hydrographs and component flows from rainfall, evaporation and streamflow data) and ann (artificial neural network) mode...

The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of global warming on where the slope changes when the monthly temperature in Iranian territory over the coming decades (2050-2015). The simulated temperature dynamic model EH5OM subset Hybrid Models atmospheric circulations (GCM) selection and data model of the Center for Theoretical Physics Salam (Italy) were derived from emission scenarios ...

Journal: Desert 2009
A. Ahmadi M. Fallahi M. Karamouz S. Nazif

Flood is one of the most calamitous natural disasters that causes extensive property and life damages across theworld. It however, could be a blessing due to its special natural water resources recharging value. By simulating themagnitude of probable floods considering the anthropogenic and natural effects and implementing contingency plans,their damages could be reduced. In this paper, the Gen...

Journal: :Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2021

Abstract Understanding the regional impact of future climate change is one major global challenges this century. This study investigated possible effects on malaria in West Africa near (2006–2035) and far (2036–2065) under two representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP4.5 RCP8.5), compared to an observed evaluation period (1981–2010). Projected rainfall temperature were obtained ...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه ولی عصر (عج) - رفسنجان - دانشکده ریاضی 1392

let h be a separable hilbert space and let b be the set of bessel sequences in h. by using several interesting results in operator theory we study some topological properties of frames and riesz bases by constructing a banach space structure on b. the convergence of a sequence of elements in b is de_ned and we determine whether important properties of the sequence is preserved under the con...

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