The world-wide diffusion and recognition of Technology Foresight suggests that it is of value for quite diverse types of economies and societies. Its merit as an important tool of strategic intelligence for policy-making also in small countries and transition economies depends on a careful tailoring to specific needs. Practice of Foresight is rather diverse also among small countries, but appro...

After the Y2K crisis many futurists feared that it might take another millennium to receive the same attention the year 2000 brought to us. Fortunately, we have seen that part of the interest in the future that the turning of century and millennium provoked seems to carry on. One of the most remarkable features of this continued appeal is regional foresight, or should I say regional planning? T...

Technology Foresight is a methodology for making the complexity and advanced nature of new technologies of future more comprehensible and transparent. The objective of this survey is to analyze and interpret weakness and strength of the current situation of Iran organizations regarding utilization of foresight activities of developing new technologies and its influence over the country by using...

Once people know the outcome of an event, they tend to overestimate what could have been anticipated in foresight. Although typically considered to be a robust phenomenon, this hindsight bias is subject to moderating circumstances. In their meta-analysis, Christensen-Szalanski and Willham (1991) observed that the more experience people have with the task under consideration, the smaller is the ...

This paper studies equilibrium selection in supermodular games based on perfect foresight dynamics. A normal form game is played repeatedly in a large society of rational agents. There are frictions: opportunities to revise actions follow independent Poisson processes. Each agent forms his belief about the future evolution of the action distribution in the society, and takes an action that maxi...