In this paper we address the issue of causal rhythmic analysis, primarily towards predicting the locations of musical beats such that they are consistent with a musical audio input. This will be a key component required for a system capable of automatic accompaniment with a live musician. We are implementing our approach as part of the aubio real-time audio library. While performance for this c...

National IQs assessed by the Progressive Matrices were calculated for 60 nations and examined in relation to per capita incomes in the late 1990s and to post World War Two rates of economic growth. It was found that national IQs are correlated at 0.757 with real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita 1998 and 0.706 with per capita GNP (Gross National Product) 1998; and at 0.605 with the growth...

We present a symbolic machinery that admits both probabilistic and causal information about a given domain and produces probabilistic statements about he effect of actions and the impact of observations. Thecalculus admits two types of conditioning operators: ordinary Bayes conditioning, P(y]X = z), which represents he observation X z, and causal conditioning, P(yldo(X = x)), read the probabili...

Recent advances in classical planning have used the SAS+ formalism, and several effective heuristics have been developed based on the SAS+ formalism. Comparing to the traditional STRIPS/ADL formalism, SAS+ is capable of capturing vital information such as domain transition structures and causal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a new SAS+ based incomplete planning approach. Instead of usi...

We address the problem of estimating the effect of intervening on a set of variables X from experiments on a different set, Z, that is more accessible to manipulation. This problem, which we call z-identifiability, reduces to ordinary identifiability when Z = ∅ and, like the latter, can be given syntactic characterization using the do-calculus [Pearl, 1995; 2000]. We provide a graphical necessa...

Abstract: This study suggests the possibility of application of utility theory to causal inference. Arai (2011) has shown that people tend to think causality stronger when they are involved in the task than when they are not. Therefore we attempted to explain the effect of ego-involvement on causal reasoning by gain and loss. Two hundreds and thirty-five university students inferred the relatio...

Social feedback has long been recognized as an important element of successful health-related behavior change. However, most of the existing studies look at the effect that offline social feedback has. This paper fills gaps in the literature by proposing a framework to study the causal effect that receiving social support in the form of comments in an online weight loss community has on (i) the...

The Application Service Provision (ASP) model offers a new form of IS/IT resource management option for which the vendor remotely provides the usage of applications over a network. Currently, the ASP industry appears to be more vendor-driven. But without a good understanding of how the ASP offerings might appeal to prospective customers, the industry might not survive. This study investigates e...

First, let me congratulate both authors on two fine papers which illuminate important aspects of causal inference. I have only a little to say about Professor Arjas’ paper which specifically illuminates the aspect of time and causality in an excellent way. I will therefore concentrate on the concepts described by Professor Rubin which seem to be more controversial, thus lending themselves direc...