Selecting the Most Economic Project under Uncertainty Using Bootstrap Technique and Fuzzy Simulation

Authors

  • Armin Jabbarzadeh Department of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
  • Kamran Shahanaghi Department of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
  • Mohammad Ghodoosi Department of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
  • Mohammad Hamidi Department of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
Abstract:

This article, by leaving pre-determined membership function of a fuzzy set which is a basic assumption for such subject, will try to propose a hybrid technique to select the most economic project among alternative projects in fuzziness interest rates condition. In this way, net present worth (NPW) would be the economic indicator. This article tries to challenge the assumption of large sample sizes availability for membership function determination and shows that some other techniques may have less accuracy. To give a robust solution, bootstrapping and fuzzy simulation is suggested and a numerical example is given and analyzed.

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Journal title

volume 5  issue 1

pages  9- 24

publication date 2012-01-01

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