Predicting Iran's economic growth rate using meta-analysis method
Authors
Abstract:
One of the most important issues for governments to maintain and improve their position in the regional and global economy is the state of economic growth; one of the important issues in this situation is to predict the rate of economic growth. Proper forecasting of economic growth has very important effects on government policy and economic planning, and can help policymakers decide on future decisions in addition to creating opportunities for development. This study predicts Iran's economic growth rate using the Meta-analysis method and compares it with other methods. For this purpose, the results of ANFIS, ARIMA, Markov switching methods, future research and Gary Markov, ECM, fuzzy regression, accounting approach related to economic growth forecasting from 1383 to 1392 (except for forecasting values with accounting approach that until 1395 Used). The fixed and random weights of each of the previous studies have been determined using fixed and random effects and have been used using the Meta-analysis method for forecasting. The results show that the accuracy of the Meta-analysis method is much higher than other methods and has the lowest difference with real data. Therefore, it is recommended to use the combined Meta method to increase the reliability coefficient of accurate forecasting.
similar resources
TECHNICAL APPENDIX for DEMOCRACY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A META-ANALYSIS
Which studies should be included? Three approaches are adopted in the literature. First, analysts take the effort to identify as many studies as possible. This involves a comprehensive search of relevant databases, analysis of citations and careful study of references. The aim is to construct a dataset that represents the population of all publicly available estimates on a given topic. This is ...
full textEconomic Growth, Tourism Receipts And Exchange Rate In MENA Zone: Using Panel Causality Technique
full text
Investigating the Relationship between Unemployment Rate and Economic Growth Rate in Iran and Selected Countries
Abstract. According to a rule known as the Okan Law, for one percent decrease (increase) in the unemployment rate, the economic growth rate will increase (decrease) by approximately 0.3 percent. In other words, there is a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and the economic growth rate. This study examines the establishment of this relationship. Contrary to expectations, the rel...
full textInvestigating Factors Affecting Fear of Crime among Iranian Citizens Using the Meta-Analysis Method
The fear of crime is one of the most important subjects of sociology, urban studies, and criminology, because of its devastating effects on the lives of citizens. The present study aimed to investigate the factors affecting the fear of crime among Iranian citizens using meta-analysis method. For this purpose, the present study examined the articles on the fear of crime in Iran. After omitting ...
full textMeta-Analysis in R Using Package rmeta
Meta-Analysis means a statistical analysis on the results of their findings is to combine a large number of independent studies. Meta-Analysis software is needed to be done for convenience, Statistical Software for Meta-Analysis is available in many statistical packages available in the present study provide software R is for Meta-Analysis. First, a brief description of the Meta-Analysis, Stati...
full textPredicting workplace aggression: a meta-analysis.
The authors conducted a meta-analysis of 57 empirical studies (59 samples) concerning enacted workplace aggression to answer 3 research questions. First, what are the individual and situational predictors of interpersonal and organizational aggression? Second, within interpersonal aggression, are there different predictors of supervisor- and coworker-targeted aggression? Third, what are the rel...
full textMy Resources
Journal title
volume 29 issue 97
pages 169- 198
publication date 2021-06
By following a journal you will be notified via email when a new issue of this journal is published.
No Keywords
Hosted on Doprax cloud platform doprax.com
copyright © 2015-2023