On the Predictability of Price Fluctuations in Tehran Stock Exchange A Correlation Dimension Estimation Approach

Authors

  • A. Khaki Sedigh and C. Lucas
  • H. Khaloozadeh
Abstract:

This paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in Tehran Stock Exchange. It is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is possible. It is also shown, using the correlation dimension estimation analysis, that a modeling of the price fluctuations based solely on the price data is insufficient to establish a model for future price prediction and that other variables involved in the process must be accounted for.

Upgrade to premium to download articles

Sign up to access the full text

Already have an account?login

similar resources

on the predictability of price fluctuations in tehran stock exchange a correlation dimension estimation approach

this paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in tehran stock exchange. it is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...

full text

The Effect of Asymmetric Fluctuations of Exchange Rate and Oil Price on Stock Index of Tehran Stock Exchange

The aim of this study was to investigate the asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuations on Stock index of Tehran Stock Exchange. For this purpose, we first calculated the exchange rate fluctuations using model General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH), and then the effect of these fluctuations on the Stock index of Tehran Stock Exchange was estimated using the Generalized...

full text

Effect of Dividend Policy Measures on Stock Price volatility in Tehran Stock Exchange

This paper aims to determine the impact of dividend policy on stock price volatility by taking firms listed on Tehran stock exchange.  A sample of 68 listed companies from Tehran stock exchange is examined for a period from 2001 to 2012.  The estimation is based on cross-sectional ordinary least square regression analysis to find the relationship between share price volatility and dividend poli...

full text

Statistical analysis of the price index of Tehran Stock Exchange

This paper presents a statistical analysis of Tehran Price Index (TePIx) for the period of 1992 to 2004. The results present asymmetric property of the return distribution which tends to the right hand of the mean. Also the return distribution can be fitted by a stable Lévy distribution and the tails are very fatter than the gaussian distribution. We estimate the tail index of the TePIx returns...

full text

conditional copula-garch methods for value at risk of portfolio: the case of tehran stock exchange market

ارزش در معرض ریسک یکی از مهمترین معیارهای اندازه گیری ریسک در بنگاه های اقتصادی می باشد. برآورد دقیق ارزش در معرض ریسک موضوع بسیارمهمی می باشد و انحراف از آن می تواند موجب ورشکستگی و یا عدم تخصیص بهینه منابع یک بنگاه گردد. هدف اصلی این مطالعه بررسی کارایی روش copula-garch شرطی در برآورد ارزش در معرض ریسک پرتفویی متشکل از دو سهام می باشد و ارزش در معرض ریسک بدست آمده با روشهای سنتی برآورد ارزش د...

My Resources

Save resource for easier access later

Save to my library Already added to my library

{@ msg_add @}


Journal title

volume 18  issue 1

pages  193- 200

publication date 1999-04

By following a journal you will be notified via email when a new issue of this journal is published.

Keywords

Hosted on Doprax cloud platform doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023