Numerical Methods of Option Pricing for Two Specific Models of Electricity Prices

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Abstract:

In this work, two models are proposed for electricity prices as energy commodity prices which in addition to mean-reverting properties have jumps and spikes, due to non-storability of electricity. The models are simulated using an Euler scheme, and then the Monte-Carlo method is used to estimate the expectation of the discounted cash-flow under historical probability, which is considered as the option price. A so called random variable simulation and a control variate method are then used to decrease, the discretization error and the Monte-Carlo error, respectively. As the option prices satisfy PDE's associated with the models, by solving these PDE's, numerically, we can find the option prices by a second method, thereby being able to make comparisons.

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Journal title

volume 3  issue 2

pages  203- 221

publication date 2007-03

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