Estimating and Forecasting Petroleum Demand in OECD Countries (Gasoline, Jet Fuel and Diesel)

Three Approaches to Time Series Forecasting of Petroleum Demand in OECD Countries

Petroleum (crude oil) is one of the most important resources of energy and its demand and consumption is growing while it is a non-renewable energy resource. Hence forecasting of its demand is necessary to plan appropriate strategies for managing future requirements. In this paper, three types of time series methods including univariate Seasonal ARIMA, Winters forecasting and Transfer Function-...

Thermochemical Conversion of Duckweed Biomass to Gasoline, Diesel, and Jet Fuel: Process Synthesis and Global Optimization

Duckweed biomass is gasified in a thermochemical-based superstructure to produce gasoline, diesel, and kerosene using a synthesis gas intermediate. The superstructure includes multiple pathways for conversion of the synthesis gas to liquid hydrocarbons via Fischer−Tropsch synthesis or intermediate methanol synthesis. Low-temperature and high-temperature Fischer−Tropsch processes are examined us...

Estimating And Forecasting Demand For Broad Money In Iran Through Cointegration Analysis And Stochastic Simulation

Gasoline demand and car choice: estimating gasoline demand using household information

In recent years, calls for carbon taxes as a policy tool to combat global warming have kept a discussion of the price and income elasticities of gasoline demand alive. To date, gasoline demand elasticity estimates are almost exclusively based on aggregate data that are subject to aggregation problems and make distributional concerns impossible to address. By using Ž . household-level data from ...

Automobile Prices, Gasoline Prices, and Consumer Demand for Fuel Economy

The relationship between gasoline prices and the demand for vehicle fuel efficiency is important for environmental policy but poorly understood in the academic literature. We provide empirical evidence that automobile manufacturers price as if consumers respond to gasoline prices. We derive a reduced-form regression equation from theoretical micro-foundations and estimate the equation with near...

supply and demand security of energy in central asia and the caucasus

امنیت انرژی به معنی عرضه مداوم و پایدار همراه با قیمت های معقول در حامل های انرژی، که تهدیدات امنیتی، سیاسی، اقتصادی، محیط زیستی و روانی را کاهش دهد. امروزه نفت و گاز تنها، کالای تجاری نیست بلکه بعنوان ابزار سیاسی مورد استفاده قرار می گیرد.اختلاف میان روسیه و اکراین بر سر انرژی در ژانویه 2006، تهدیدی برای امنیت انرژی اروپا ایجاد کرد. در این تحقیق ما تلاش کردیم که نقش انرژی آسیای میانه و قفقاز ر...