Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: A survey and new approaches
نویسندگان
چکیده
We demonstrate how the pricing problem for electricity swing options can be considered as a stochastic bilevel program with asymmetric information. Unlike as for nancial options, there is no way for basing the pricing method on no-arbitrage arguments. Two main situations are analyzed: If the seller has strong market power he/she might be able to maximize his/her utility, while in fully competitive situations he/she will just look for a price which makes pro t and risk just acceptable. In both cases the seller has to consider the decision problem of a potential buyer the valuation problem of determining a fair value for a speci c option contract and anticipate the buyer's optimal reaction to each proposed strike price. We also discuss some methods for nding numerical solutions of stochastic bilevel problems with a special emphasis on methods using duality gap penalizations.
منابع مشابه
Medium Term Hydroelectric Production Planning - A Multistage Stochastic Optimization Model
Multistage stochastic programming is a key technology for making decisions over time in an uncertain environment. One of the promising areas in which this technology is implementable, is medium term planning of electricity production and trading where decision makers are typically faced with uncertain parameters (such as future demands and market prices) that can be described by stochastic proc...
متن کاملRobust optimisation approach to pricing electricity swing options Project Report
Electricity swing options are complex, Bermudan-style derivatives on electrical energy. They can be considered as supply contracts for power, which give flexibility in both the timing and amount of delivery. Pricing of such instruments is a challenging task due to the path-dependence of the option, non-storability of electricity and incompleteness of energy markets. We formulate a model for det...
متن کاملValuation of electricity swing options by multistage stochastic programming
Electricity swing options are Bermudan-style path-dependent derivatives on electrical energy. We consider an electricity market driven by several exogenous risk factors and formulate the pricing problem for a class of swing option contracts with energy and power limits as well as ramping constraints. Efficient numerical solution of the arising multistage stochastic program requires aggregation ...
متن کاملA Finite-element Approach for Pricing Swing Options under Stochastic Volatility
Option pricing plays an important role in financial,energy, and commodity markets. The Black-Scholes model is an indispensable framework for the option pricing. This thesis studies the pricing of a swing option under stochastic volatility. A swing option is an American-style contract with multiple exercise rights. As such, it is an optimal multiplestopping time problem. In this dissertation, we...
متن کاملImpacts of Premium Bounds on the Operation of Put Option and Day-ahead Electricity Markets
In this paper, the impacts of premium bounds of put option contracts on the operation of put option and day-ahead electricity markets are studied. To this end, first a comprehensive equilibrium model for a joint put option and day-ahead markets is presented. Interaction between put option and day-ahead markets, uncertainty in fuel price, impact of premium bounds, and elasticity of con...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- European Journal of Operational Research
دوره 237 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2014