Continuous Time Approximations to GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models
نویسنده
چکیده
We collect some continuous time GARCH models and report on how they approximate discrete time GARCH processes. Similarly, certain continuous time volatility models are viewed as approximations to discrete time volatility models. 1 Stochastic volatility models and discrete GARCH Both stochastic volatility models and GARCH processes are popular models for the description of financial time series. Recall that a discrete time stochastic volatility model (SV-model) is a process (Xn)n∈N0 together with a non-negative volatility process (σn)n∈N0 , such that Xn = σnεn, n ∈ N0, (1) where the noise sequence (εn)n∈N0 is a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, which is assumed to be independent of (σn)n∈N0 . Further information about these processes can be found e.g. in Shephard (2008) and Davis and Mikosch (2008). In contrast to stochastic volatility models, GARCH processes have the property that the volatility process is specified as a function of the past observations. The classical ARCH(1) process by Engle (1982) and the GARCH(1,1) process by Bollerslev (1986), for example, are processes (Xn)n∈N0 with a non-negative volatility process (σn)n∈N0 , such that Xn = σnεn, n ∈ N0, (2) Alexander M. Lindner Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institut für Mathematische Stochastik, Pockelsstraße 14, D-38106 Braunschweig, Germany e-mail: [email protected]
منابع مشابه
On the Statistical Equivalence at Suitable Frequencies of GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models with the Corresponding Diffusion Model
Continuous-time models play a central role in the modern theoretical finance literature, while discrete-time models are often used in the empirical finance literature. The continuous-time models are diffusions governed by stochastic differential equations. Most of the discrete-time models are autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (ARCH) models and stochastic volatility (SV) models. The d...
متن کاملModeling Stock Return Volatility Using Symmetric and Asymmetric Nonlinear State Space Models: Case of Tehran Stock Market
Volatility is a measure of uncertainty that plays a central role in financial theory, risk management, and pricing authority. Turbulence is the conditional variance of changes in asset prices that is not directly observable and is considered a hidden variable that is indirectly calculated using some approximations. To do this, two general approaches are presented in the literature of financial ...
متن کاملReconsidering the continuous time limit of the GARCH ( 1 , 1 ) process
In this note we reconsider the continuous time limit of the GARCH(1, 1) process. Let > k and p2 k denote, respectively, the cumulative returns and the volatility processes. We consider the continuous time approximation of the couple (> k , p2 k ). We show that, by choosing di!erent parameterizations, as a function of the discrete interval h, we can obtain either a degenerate or a non-degenerate...
متن کاملA Continuous Time GARCH Process Driven by a Lévy Process: Stationarity and Second Order Behaviour
We use a discrete time analysis, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the almost sure convergence of ARCH(1) and GARCH(1,1) discrete time models, to suggest an extension of the (G)ARCH concept to continuous time processes. Our “COGARCH” (continuous time GARCH) model, based on a single background driving Lévy process, is different from, though related to, other continuous time stochast...
متن کاملApproximating GARCH-Jump Models, Jump-Diffusion Processes, and Option Pricing
This paper considers the pricing of options when there are jumps in the pricing kernel and correlated jumps in asset prices and volatilities. We extend theory developed by Nelson (1990) and Duan (1997) by considering limiting models for our resulting approximating GARCH-Jump process. Limiting cases of our processes consist of models where both asset price and local volatility follow jump diffus...
متن کامل