Systemic Funding Liquidity Risk and Bank Failures
نویسندگان
چکیده
We examine the roles of idiosyncratic and systemic funding liquidity risks in bank failures. We estimate a discrete-time hazard model of bank failure using data of U.S. commercial banks between 1985 and 2004, and examine its out-of-sample forecasting performance between 2005 and 2011. The out-of-sample performance comparison shows this model outperforms typical bank failure prediction models. We find that systemic funding liquidity risk, as measured by the interbank interest rate spread, was a major predictor of bank failures in 2008 and 2009. This finding has important implications for the new international standards on liquidity risk management. JEL classification: G21; G28; G01; G17; C53; C58
منابع مشابه
Measuring Systemic Funding Liquidity Risk in the Interbank Foreign Currency Lending Market
This paper proposes a new framework which captures the systemic nature of funding liquidity risk. Using this framework we develop a set of indicators which measure different aspects of the systemic funding liquidity risk in the interbank foreign currency lending market: (i) systemic funding liquidity needs, (ii) systemic vulnerability, (iii) systemic importance and (iv) systemic liquidity short...
متن کاملde Conference on “ Liquidity and Liquidity Risks ”
This paper discusses liquidity regulation when short-term funding is the marginal funding source of credit growth but generates negative systemic risk externalities. It studies the relative merits of price versus quantity tools, showing that a second best solution may generally involve the use of both types of tools. When banks differ in their credit opportunities, a Pigovian tax on short-term ...
متن کاملStrengthening Bank Management of Liquidity Risk: The Basel III Liquidity Standards
The global financial crisis highlighted the importance of ensuring that the financial system has adequate liquidity to withstand adverse circumstances. The funding pressures that began in 2007 underlined the acute deficiencies in the liquidity-risk-management practices of some banks, and the severity of the ensuing crisis required massive public sector support to stem the liquidity spiral and m...
متن کاملStrategic interaction on Liquidity Risk in Iranian Banks
The peer effects induced by social interactions have been studied empirically for several socio-economic phenomena in the last three decades. Before, economists have considered preferences of actors as exogenous parameters which are a tradition rooted in the work of Milton Friedman. But most recently, many economists have studied processes of preference formation of actors and have developed th...
متن کاملThe Role of Regulation in Banking: Liquidity Risk Perspective
The liquidity crisis in 2008 sparked interest in the role of regulation that could promote resilience and stability in the banking system. While the Public Interest theory suggests that legal policies could discipline banking activities, the Private Interest theory predicts otherwise, which impairs banking performance. The conflicting theories warrant comprehensive research, especially for Isla...
متن کامل