The Structure and Evolution of a Continental Winter Cyclone. Part II: Frontal Forcing of an Extreme Snow Event

The production of a narrow, heavy, occasionally convective snowband that fell within a modest surface cyclone on 19 January 1995 is examined using gridded model output from a successful numerical simulation performed using the University of Wisconsin—Nonhydrostatic Modeling System. It is found that the snowband was produced by a thermally direct vertical circulation forced by significant lower-tropospheric warm frontogenesis in the presence of across-front effective static stability differences as measured in terms of the equivalent potential vorticity (PVe). The sometimes convective nature of the snowband resulted from the development of freely convective motions forced by frontal lifting of the environmental stratification. Model trajectories demonstrate that a stream of warm, moist air ascended through the trowal portion of the warm-occluded structure that developed during the cyclone life cycle. The lifting of air in the trowal was, in this case, forced by lower-tropospheric frontogenesis occurring in the warm-frontal portion of the warm occlusion. This trowal airstream accounts for the production of the so-called wrap-around precipitation often associated with occluded cyclones and, in this case, accounted for the northern third of the heavy snowband.