Reward Prediction Error in Online Game Trades
نویسنده
چکیده
We use trade data from an online game economy to test the dopaminergic reward prediction error (DRPE) hypothesis: upon buying a game item at a price which is obviously too low, a player should become more active in the trading market. We find that players are more willing to buy goods in the in-game market after such an trade incident. Hence, the effect predicted by the DRPE model is visible. Yet, contrary to the prediction of DRPE, the magnitude of the prediction error does not have any effect on the post-error trading activity. JEL Classification: C99, D01, D12, D87 ∗Address: Universität Wien, Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre, Brünner Strasse 72, A-1210 Wien, Austria. Email: [email protected] †I would like to thank Oliver Fabel, Junsoo Lee, and Carlos Alos-Ferrer for helpful comments.
منابع مشابه
Panel Session What Does Dopamine Say: Clues from Computational Modeling
Background: Reinforcement learning models now play a central role in modern attempts to understand how the brain categorizes and values events traditionally framed by psychology as rewards and punishments. These models provide a way to design and interpret of reward expectancy experiments in humans across a wide range of rewarding dimensions. They also provide a connection to computational mode...
متن کاملRTDGPS Implementation by Online Prediction of GPS Position Components Error Using GA-ANN Model
If both Reference Station (RS) and navigational device in Differential Global Positioning System (DGPS) receive signals from the same satellite, RS Position Components Error (RPCE) can be used to compensate for navigational device error. This research used hybrid method for RPCE prediction which was collected by a low-cost GPS receiver. It is a combination of Genetic Algorithm (GA) computing an...
متن کاملValue and Prediction Error in Medial Frontal Cortex: Integrating the Single-Unit and Systems Levels of Analysis
The role of the anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) in cognition has been extensively investigated with several techniques, including single-unit recordings in rodents and monkeys and EEG and fMRI in humans. This has generated a rich set of data and points of view. Important theoretical functions proposed for ACC are value estimation, error detection, error-likelihood estimation, conflict monitorin...
متن کاملNeural correlates of risk prediction error during reinforcement learning in humans
Behavioral studies have shown for decades that humans are sensitive to risk when making decisions. More recently, brain activities have been shown to be correlated with risky choices. But an important gap needs to be filled: How does the human brain learn which decisions are risky? In cognitive neuroscience, reinforcement learning has never been used to estimate reward variance, a common measur...
متن کاملReal-time Automatic Price Prediction for eBay Online Trading
We develop a system for attribute-based prediction of final (online) auction pricing, focusing on the eBay laptop category. The system implements a featureweighted k-NN algorithm, using evolutionary computation to determine feature weights, with prior trades used as training data. The resulting average prediction error is 16%. Mostly automatic trading using the system greatly reduces the time a...
متن کامل