Table of Model Parameter Values
نویسندگان
چکیده
Initial population 75000 people Individuals uniformly weighted to represent full S.A. population. Number of burn-in days 7300 days Days from 1960 to infection seeding in 1980. Duration of simulation 32850 days Days from 1960 to end in 2050. Initial prevalence fraction 5 percent Seeding prevalence, high for 1980 but gives good 2010 results. Circumcision probability 42 percent Nationally, 42% of men aged 16-55 years report being circumcised. STI probability 7 percent Approximates fraction of STI (HSV-2) infected individuals that would be shedding. Minimum age for sexual interaction 13 years Less than 10% have sex before 15 [1]. Sex before 13 is excluded. Coital frequency 0.33 acts/day Self-reported coital frequency among discordant couples in Rakai, Uganda [2].
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