Testing time series linearity: traditional and bootstrap methods

نویسندگان

  • Arthur Berg
  • Timothy McMurry
  • Dimitris N. Politis
چکیده

We review the notion of time series linearity and describe recent advances in linearity and Gaussianity testing via data-resampling methodologies. Many advances have been made since the first published tests of linearity and Gaussianity by Subba Rao and Gabr in 1980, including several resampling-based proposals. This article is intended to be instructive in explaining and motivating linearity testing. Recent results on the validity of the AR–sieve bootstrap for linearity testing are reviewed. In addition, a subsampling-based linearity and Gaussianity test is proposed where asymptotic consistency of the testing procedure is justified. ∗Department of Biostatistics, Penn State University, Hershey, PA 17033 email: [email protected]. †Department of Mathematics, DePaul University Chicago, IL 60614 email: [email protected]. ‡Department of Mathematics, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0112; email: [email protected].

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Bootstrap Test for Time Series Linearity

A bootstrap algorithm is proposed for testing Gaussianity and linearity in stationary time series, and consistency of the relevant bootstrap approximations is proven rigorously for the first time. Subba Rao and Gabr (1980) and Hinich (1982) have formulated some well-known nonparametric tests for Gaussianity and linearity based on the asymptotic distribution of the normalized bispectrum. The pro...

متن کامل

Semiparametric Bootstrap Prediction Intervals in time Series

One of the main goals of studying the time series is estimation of prediction interval based on an observed sample path of the process. In recent years, different semiparametric bootstrap methods have been proposed to find the prediction intervals without any assumption of error distribution. In semiparametric bootstrap methods, a linear process is approximated by an autoregressive process. The...

متن کامل

For Which Countries did PPP hold ? A Multiple Testing Approach

We use recent advances in multiple testing to identify the countries for which Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) held over the last century. The approach controls the multiplicity problem inherent in simultaneously testing for PPP on several time series, thereby avoiding spurious rejections. It has higher power than traditional multiple testing techniques by exploiting the dependence structure betw...

متن کامل

For Which Countries did PPP hold ? A Multiple Testing

We use recent advances in the multiple testing literature to identify those countries for which Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) held over the last century. The approach controls the multiplicity problem inherent in simultaneously testing for PPP on several time series, thereby avoiding spurious rejections. It has higher power than traditional multiple testing techniques by exploiting the dependen...

متن کامل

Detecting Nonlinearity in Time Series: Surrogate and Bootstrap Approaches

Detecting nonlinearity in financial time series is a key point when the main interest is to understand the generating process. One of the main tests for testing linearity in time series is the Hinich Bispectrum Nonlinearity Test (HINBIN). Although this test has been succesfully applied to a vast number of time series, further improvement in the size power of the test is possible. A new method t...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011