An Improved Coal and Gas Outburst Prediction Algorithm Based on BP Neural Network
نویسنده
چکیده
The coal and gas outburst is one of complex geological disasters and its prediction is influenced by a multiple of factors, such as coal gas, ground stress, physical and mechanical properties, and complex non-linear system, which cause the low prediction accuracy. It is a favorable scheme to use the nonlinear BP neural network for the prediction algorithm design. But, the traditional BP neural network algorithm has some defects, such as the slow convergence speed and falling into the local minimum value easily. In order to remedy the defects and improve the prediction accuracy of the coal and gas outburst effectively, the improved BP neural network prediction algorithm of the coal and gas outburst is put forward in this paper. The additional momentum is adopted to adjust the network weight and to speed up the network convergence speed, and then the speed of network learning is adjusted self-adaptively and the number of iterations is reduced. Finally, the simulation of prediction of the coal and gas outburst in mine is carried out. Compared with the traditional BP neural network, the improved algorithm shows its superiorities and provides the basis for the accurate prediction of coal mine disasters.
منابع مشابه
Study on Compound Genetic and Back Propagation Algorithm for Prediction of Coal and Gas Outburst Risk
Coal and gas outburst is a very complex phenomenon of dynamic disaster in coal mine. There exists a complex non-linear mapping relationship which could not be described with functions between outburst risk and its influential factors. Due to the originality and superiority of artificial neural network (ANN) for modeling and imitating non-linear problems, an ANN model for prediction of outburst ...
متن کاملPrediction Strategy of Coal and Gas Outburst Based on Artificial Neural Network
The article describes the research of coal and gas outburst prediction technology and the new problems they face in the modern mining. It also describes the superiority of neural network technology in dealing with complex geological conditions. It refers to the possibility and necessity of combination of the coal and gas outburst prediction and artificial neural networks, and other hightechnolo...
متن کاملNatural Gas Price Forecasting using Kriging Interpolation Technique and Neldar-Mead Optimization Algorithm
The prediction of economic series with high volatility and high uncertainty - such as natural gas prices - is always a challenge in econometric models, because the use of traditional linear modeling models does not allow us to predict complex and nonlinear time series. Regarding the prediction of natural gas prices, findings point to superiority of the neural network compared to regression mod...
متن کاملInvestigating Financial Crisis Prediction Power using Neural Network and Non-Linear Genetic Algorithm
Bankruptcy is an event with strong impacts on management, shareholders, employees, creditors, customers and other stakeholders, so as bankruptcy challenges the country both socially and economically. Therefore, correct prediction of bankruptcy is of high importance in the financial world. This research intends to investigate financial crisis prediction power using models based on Neural Network...
متن کاملIdentifying Flow Units Using an Artificial Neural Network Approach Optimized by the Imperialist Competitive Algorithm
The spatial distribution of petrophysical properties within the reservoirs is one of the most important factors in reservoir characterization. Flow units are the continuous body over a specific reservoir volume within which the geological and petrophysical properties are the same. Accordingly, an accurate prediction of flow units is a major task to achieve a reliable petrophysical description o...
متن کامل