Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampling and Estimation in Mata

I describe algorithms for drawing from distributions using adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, introduce a Mata function for performing adaptive MCMC, amcmc(), and a suite of functions amcmc *() allowing an alternative implementation of adaptive MCMC. amcmc() and amcmc *() may be used in conjunction with models set up to work with Mata’s [M-5] moptimize( ) or [M-5] optimize( ), or with standalone functions. To show how the routines might be used in estimation problems, I give two examples of what Chernozukov and Hong (2003) refer to as Quasi-Bayesian or Laplace-Type estimators simulation-based estimators employing MCMC sampling. In the first example I illustrate basic ideas and show how a simple linear model can be estimated by simulation. In the next example, I describe simulation-based estimation of a censored quantile regression model following Powell (1986); the discussion describes the workings of the Stata command mcmccqreg. I also present an example of how the routines can be used to draw from distributions without a normalizing constant, and in Bayesian estimation of a mixed logit model. This discussion introduces the Stata command bayesmlogit. Matthew J. Baker 1532 Hunter West Department of Economics Hunter College 695 Park Avenue New York, NY 10065 [email protected] and the Graduate Center, CUNY 2 Adaptive MCMC in Mata