A Philosopher’s Guide to Empirical Success

نویسنده

  • Malcolm R. Forster
چکیده

The simple question—What is empirical success?—turns out to have a surprisingly complicated answer. We need to distinguish between meritorious fit and “fudged fit”, which is akin to the distinction between prediction and accommodation. The final proposal is that empirical success emerges in a theory-dependent way from the agreement of independent measurements of theoretically postulated quantities. Implications for realism and Bayesianism are discussed. † Email: [email protected]; homepage: http://philosophy.wisc.edu/forster ‡ This paper was written as a Visiting Fellow at the Center for Philosophy of Science at the University of Pittsburgh; I thank everyone for their support.

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تاریخ انتشار 2006